The Quiet Before The Storm

Stock are trading quietly higher ahead of the Federal Reserve’s meeting on
interest rate policy. The decision comes at 2:15 PM ET. The Fed is
expected to cut interest rates between .25% and .50%.

The Nasdaq is up 11.77 at 2076.39, the Dow is up 32 at
10,505, and the S&P 500 is up .65 at 1217.41.

Airlines
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+2.94%, Internets
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+2.66%,
and securities broker/dealers
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, +2.09%, are leading as oil services
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-4.09%, oil
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, and semiconductors
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-1.07%, lag.

The semiconductor index
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is making a comeback —
logging its sixth consecutive day of higher lows and erasing earlier losses —
despite Xilinx
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downgrading its quarterly earnings estimates. Xilinx
is the most heavily weighted stock on the SOX and is down 9% at 39.91.

SOX component Vitesse Semiconductors
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also
warned last night, saying it would lose money this quarter. That the semi index
is able to come back despite the negative news is a healthy sign.

Platronics
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is showing signs of accumulation at a bottom. When
volatility contracts, then a stock logs an outside day at a bottom on
exponentially rising volume —
+50%, +100%, +200% day-on-day — then someone is accumulating at a low. PLT is up
3.87 at at 23.25.

Advanced Fibre Communications
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is triggering out of its three-
(daily)
bar triangle off the June 21 expansion bar, setting up for a test of the May 22
high. This company makes telecommunications access products and is in the
absolute weakest of the major industry groups — fiber optic components —
but maybe not for long.