Soy Ahoy!

What do you do when a commodity sector fills up and dominates the Momentum-5 List and also registers on the New 10-Day Highs List? Recognize the momentum and strive to find a defined-risk entry point.

This is what is occurring in the grains as the five major Chicago contracts are rallying in a momentum pulse after filling out the Momentum-5 List and scoring new 10-day highs. As pointed out in this space and in Futures Recaps, a change in the fundamentals has sparked heavy fund buying following a USDA report that mentioned reduced plantings of soybeans and a lower year-over-year grain carry over.

August beans
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gapped open for the second consecutive day, head-faked below the opening range, and then extended to a gain of as much as 20 cents before tracing a volatility-compressing Doji bar (on the 5-minutes) and pulling back. Beans have rallied nearly 40 cents in three sessions, so a pullback from such an explosive run is warranted to rectify an overbought situation. Notice Monday’s outside day expansion bar that preceded the past two days’ gapping strength and that the 520-ish resistance coincides with the late December “island” consolidation.

Corn
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is also having its biggest up day of the year and has exhibited similar behavior in that it logged an outside day expansion bar on its high before gapping for two consecutive days. Corn has traded higher for the past seven straight sessions. When a market trades consistently higher, it will register on the 6/100 Volatility List (as corn did last night), and provide a clue of a larger-than-normal move such as corn has done this morning by rallying as many as 12 cents.

Nasdaq 100 futures
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are slightly higher and are currently tracing a tail after having logged a three-month low. This market is trading right below its Turtle Soup Plus One Buy trigger.

August gold
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registered a TS+1 Buy signal three days ago and is making a descent move higher for a third consecutive session on the signal. Gold signaled it could maker a larger-than-normal move by registering on the 6/100 Low Volatility List as well.

Pork bellies
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are down nearly their daily limit after hitting a New 10-Day Low yesterday.

Cotton is higher and demonstrating nascent signs of upside potential. Two days ago, cotton gapped higher and closed on its high, a constructive sign. Today, cotton is forming an outside day at a seven-day high in a bar similar to the one described above in soybeans (and corn) that preceded beans’ strong upside behavior.