Monday’s Options Alerts
After the
turnaround
from multi-year lows yesterday, the major averages showed excellent follow
through in the face of lukewarm economic data. General Electric’s
(
GE |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
earnings report and an upgrade on IBM
(
IBM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) ignited a broad-based rally in
virtually all sectors of the market.
Stocks
were strong from the start, but a final-hour sell-off has them closing off their
highs. Either way, this was was solid day as the previous bounces have all
been one-day wonders. At the
close, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) gained 316.34 points or 4.19% and now trading above
its 20-day average. The S&P
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) gained 31.40 points or
3.90%. Finally, the Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) jumped 47.11 points or 4.04%. After
being down for the last six weeks, the averages finally closed in the green.
For
the week, the Dow gained 367 points or 4.21%. The S&P gained 32 points or
3.98%. The Nasdaq gained 71 points or 6.23%. There wasn’t a sector in the
green, not even gold. Notable winners were semiconductors
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) up
8.38%, airliners
(
$XAL..X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) up 6.67%, and Internets
(
$DOT.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) up
6.11%.
Stocks ignored today’s data, on the economic front. September retail sales dropped 1.2% or slightly
more than the 1% drop economists were expecting. But excluding auto sales,
retails sales rose by an expected 0.1%. Also the preliminary Michigan
consumer sentiment index fell to a 9-year low of 80.4 from last month’s reading
of 86.2. This was much lower than the anticipated reading of 85.7. Today’s
action was indeed positive, but we’ve come a long way in only two days. In case
the rally continues, volatility is sure to drop. Be prepared to look for
ratio spread opportunities then.
Volatility sold off today as the markets rallied. The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) gapped
down, opened near its highs, and closed near the lows of the day. This shift in intraday sentiment shows a
drop in fear. No CVRs were triggered today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) also
gapped down, near its highs, and closed near
the lows of the day. This shift
in intraday sentiment shows a drop in fear.
Points of Significance:
Volatility Index |
Close |
Net Change |
Signals/Direction |
% Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average |
Significance |
VIX |
43.44 | DOWN 2.85 | NONE | 4.42% Below | Not At Extreme |
VXN |
58.87 | DOWN 3.95 | NONE |
1.83% Below | Not At Extreme |
Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement
—
Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement
Name |
Symbol |
Net % Change |
Volume |
Avg. Volume |
AdvancePCS |
ADVP |
+ 11.64 | 2586 | 173 |
Nordstrom | JWN |
+ 9.66 | 1965 | 282 |
Sharper Images | SHRP |
+ 9.20 | 922 | 197 |
Alcoa | AA |
+ 9..06 | 9539 | 2837 |
Tiffany & Co. | TIF |
+ 8.49 | 2499 | 367 |
Microchip Tech |
MCHP |
+ 7.01 | 10258 | 1591 |
Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility — Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day
Spike Up
Name |
Symbol |
IV |
Previous IV |
High IV |
Low IV |
Marvell Technology
|
MRVL |
121.9 | 107.3 | 108.7 | 66.1 |
Alcon | ACL |
44 | 39.2 | 47.1 | 38.6 |
Andrx | ADRX |
144.8 | 129.1 | 140 | 80.3 |
Catalina Marketing | POS |
52.9 | 47.3 | 50.5 | 25.1 |
Dow Jones & Co. | DJ |
55.8 | 49.9 | 38.9 | 23.2 |
Spike Down
Name |
Symbol |
IV |
Previous IV |
High IV |
Low IV |
PanAm Satellite
|
SPOT |
45.9 | 62.6 | 63.4 | 27.7 |
General Electric | GE |
50.4 | 61.5 | 51.9 | 31.9 |
Wal-Mart |
WMT |
43 | 52 | 48 | 26.2 |
Texas Utilities | TXU |
86.3 | 102.5 | 61.6 | 17.3 |
Cerner | CERN |
59.2 | 69.4 | 73.6 | 36.5 |
Goldman Sachs | GS |
45.7 | 53.3 | 47.9 | 31.4 |
Please use stops on every trade!