Monday’s Options Alerts

After the
turnaround

from multi-year lows yesterday, the major averages showed excellent follow
through in the face of lukewarm economic data. General Electric’s
(
GE |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

earnings report and an upgrade on IBM
(
IBM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
ignited a broad-based rally in
virtually all sectors of the market.

Stocks
were strong from the start, but a final-hour sell-off has them closing off their
highs. Either way, this was was solid day as the previous bounces have all
been one-day wonders. At the
close, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained 316.34 points or 4.19% and now trading above
its 20-day average. The S&P
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained 31.40 points or
3.90%. Finally, the Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
jumped 47.11 points or 4.04%. After
being down for the last six weeks, the averages finally closed in the green.

For
the week, the Dow gained 367 points or 4.21%. The S&P gained 32 points or
3.98%. The Nasdaq gained 71 points or 6.23%. There wasn’t a sector in the
green, not even gold. Notable winners were semiconductors
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up
8.38%, airliners
(
$XAL..X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up 6.67%, and Internets
(
$DOT.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up
6.11%.

Stocks ignored today’s data, on the economic front. September retail sales dropped 1.2% or slightly
more than the 1% drop economists were expecting. But excluding auto sales,
retails sales rose by an expected 0.1%. Also the preliminary Michigan
consumer sentiment index fell to a 9-year low of 80.4 from last month’s reading
of 86.2. This was much lower than the anticipated reading of 85.7. Today’s
action was indeed positive, but we’ve come a long way in only two days. In case

the rally continues, volatility is sure to drop. Be prepared to look for
ratio spread opportunities then.

Volatility sold off today as the markets rallied. The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped
down, opened near its highs, and closed near the lows of the day. This shift in intraday sentiment shows a
drop in fear. No CVRs were triggered today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
also
gapped down, near its highs, and closed near
the lows of the day. This shift
in intraday sentiment shows a drop in fear.

Points of Significance:


Volatility
Index

Close

Net
Change

Signals/Direction

%
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average

Significance

VIX
43.44 DOWN 2.85 NONE 4.42% Below Not
At Extreme

VXN
58.87 DOWN 3.95 NONE
1.83% Below Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement


Name

Symbol

Net
% Change

Volume

Avg.
Volume
AdvancePCS

ADVP
+ 11.64 2586 173
Nordstrom
JWN
+ 9.66 1965 282
Sharper Images
SHRP
+ 9.20 922 197
Alcoa
AA
+ 9..06 9539 2837
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
+ 8.49 2499 367
Microchip
Tech

MCHP
+ 7.01 10258 1591

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up


Name

Symbol

IV

Previous
IV

High
IV

Low
IV

Marvell Technology


MRVL
121.9 107.3 108.7 66.1
Alcon
ACL
44 39.2 47.1 38.6
Andrx
ADRX
144.8 129.1 140 80.3
Catalina Marketing
POS
52.9 47.3 50.5 25.1
Dow Jones & Co.
DJ
55.8 49.9 38.9 23.2

Spike Down


Name

Symbol

IV

Previous
IV

High
IV

Low
IV

PanAm Satellite


SPOT
45.9 62.6 63.4 27.7
General Electric
GE
50.4 61.5 51.9 31.9
Wal-Mart

WMT
43 52 48 26.2
Texas Utilities
TXU
86.3 102.5 61.6 17.3
Cerner
CERN
59.2 69.4 73.6 36.5
Goldman Sachs
GS
45.7 53.3 47.9 31.4

Please use stops on every trade!