Tuesday’s Futures Setups
The catalyst for today’s market
was, no doubt, Microsoft
(
MSFT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating). MSFT is a component of
the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500, and it helped fuel the rally right out of the gate.
MSFT rallied 5.8% after a US judge mostly approved a proposed settlement of the
federal antitrust case against the company late Friday, casting aside calls by
nine states for more stringent penalties. Standard & Poor’s upped the stock to a
“buy” from an “accumulate,” citing the strength of the company’s balance sheet,
the quality of its earnings and the favorable Federal court ruling. This spilled
over into the overall tech sector, which gave the Dec. Nasdaq futures
(
NDZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) a positive bias for the day and had it trading as high as 1073, just
below the 1080 level. NDZ2 closed at 1043 up 20.50 or 2.00%.
On the Dec. S&P 500 futures
(
SPZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), it was an
opportunity for both bulls and bears and anyone in between. The SPZ2 gapped to
906.50 and rallied as high as 925.00 at 1:00 PM EST. Then a pullback occurred
and the SPZ2 broke its 20-period moving average and drifted off for the rest of
the session, closing near the lows of the day at 907.40, a gain of 8.90 on the
day.
In the coffee chart above, the market looks to
move higher in the weeks ahead as prices adjust to a lower level of production
for the next year. The Commitment-of-Traders report with options showed little
change in positions with speculators still net long near 22,000 contracts
which might be considered slightly overbought. Â
March coffee buying support comes in near 66.85-66.10 with 71.30 and 80.85 as
next upside objectives. It would take a move under 63.60 to sour the charts.
Consider buying futures or calls on breaks.
The Dec. coffee contract
(
KCZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) ended at 62.25 up 1.39 or
2.19%.
Possible
short candidates:
Contract |
|
|
|
Dec. euro ( ECZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Sell |
down |
break below .990 |
Jan. feeder cattle ( FCF3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
|
|
break below 81.0 |
Dec. lean hogs ( LHZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Sell |
|
break below |
Feb. pork bellies ( PBG3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Sell |
down |
break below 74 |
Mar. sugar ( SBH3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Sell |
down |
break below 7.0 |
Possible
long candidates:
|
|
|
|
Mar. cocoa |
|
up |
Trade above 2000 |
Dec coffee |
|
up |
Trade above 70.00 |
Dec S&P 500 ( SPZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Sideways channel |
up |
Trade above 900 |
Dec. Nasdaq 100 ( NDZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
New 10-day high |
up |
Trade above 1040 |
Dec. cotton ( CTZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Sideways channel |
up |
Trade above 47.00 |
Please note that while there are strong trends, one bar or a series of bars
forming a setup can sometimes indicate a contra move for the next day. This
contra move may not be long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with
the main trend is always the highest probability trade.
Use stops on all your trades.