Wednesday’s Stock Watch


The major indexes kicked
off the week with new lows for the year,
and Tuesday the NYSE and
Nasdaq exchanges posted distribution days. So things are down. With no spark to
trigger a rally, price action maintains its steady decline as fears of conflict
with Iraq hold down sentiment.



In the breadth department, new-52-week Lows are
maintaining their bias over a nearly nonexistent Highs list. Volume in general
has been light. Upside leadership remains another absent factor.



The four remaining stocks on our watch list are
holding up well. When the market eventually turns up, we will look to issues
like GRMN that represent the best in technical and fundamental properties to be
the next stars.



From Tuesday’s action:



Market breadth was mostly negative, with NYSE
declining issues over advancing issues by a ratio of 1.44, and down volume over
up volume by a 2.30 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in
at 1.18, and up  volume beat down volume by a 1.21 ratio.




Dow Jones Industrial Average
(
$INDU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

closed 
-0.97%
at 7,843.11. The S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

closed
-0.80% at
829.21.
The Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed

-0.09% at
1,295.51.






cellPadding=0 width=”70%” border=1 height=”185″>

































  NYSE size=2>NASDAQ
Advancing Issues
1,264

1,474

Declining  Issues

1,807

1,753
Advancing Volume
406,525,000

649,532,000
Declining Volume

846,468,000

629,249,000

Total
Volume

1,273,034,000

1,235,674,000
New 52-week
Highs

6

3
New 52-week Lows
58

20

Top sectors:

Gold and Silver, Internet, Software, Cable TV/Satelite,
and Drugs.

Watch List Action:


Once again in defiance of overall market action, Apollo Group
(
APOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
showed
relative strength as it put in an accumulation day Tuesday. The stock maintains
its position above its 50-day moving average, and remains poised for a breakout.





Also defying the overall market with an accumulation day was Garmin Ltd.
(
GRMN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
.
Stocks that go against the grain of the markets as a whole tend to be big
winners when things turn up. This stock has been a great performer for us, and
is trading right on its 50-day moving average.





Recent Breakouts

size=2>

We monitor the action of Recent Breakouts as an indicator of
the market health for IT traders. When breakouts are acting well, this is a good
sign for the likelihood of further sustainable breakouts. When breakouts are
failing, IT traders should be even more cautious.









































color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

52-Week High

Coach Inc.


(
COH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

87

31.33

-0.08

991,100

28.35

35.70

Garmin Ltd.


(
GRMN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

94

28.80

+0.05

489,500

28.66

32.07

International Game Technology


(
IGT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

83

74.99

-0.21

1,121,100

74.84

80.10

Stocks Forming a Handle




















color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

Apollo Group


(
APOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

89

44.66

+0.42

1,955,600

45.60

Stocks Building A Base





















color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name

color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol

color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS

color=#ffffff size=2>Price

color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change

color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume


Pivot

None

 

 

 

 

 

 

Daniel Beighley


href=”mailto:danielb@tradingmarkets.com”>danielb@tradingmarkets.com


If you are new to the “IT” strategy, be sure to
take a look at our

intermediate-term online trading course
.


Intermediate-Term Traders

Report is posted on
Tuesdays and Fridays. For other intermediate-term commentary, be sure to read

Mark Boucher
(Fridays),

Tim Truebenbach
(Tuesdays and Thursdays), and

Gary Kaltbaum
(Mondays and Thursdays).