This Breakout Cannot Be Denied

Stocks are lower mid-day, as
the Dow and S&P 500 have retraced to their 50% marks, measuring from the October
lows to the December highs. The selling has brought these indexes below the
bottoms of three-month trading ranges, as talk of retesting the October lows has
surfaced. Ongoing concerns of conflict with Iraq, and problems in North Korea
and Venezuela have inspired buying in Gold
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, which has hit a
five-year high. 

The Dow Jones Industrial
Average

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is -2.48% at 8,162.20. The S&P 500
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$SPX.X |
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is -2.53% at 864.90. The Nasdaq
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is -2.84%
at 1,348.81.

The day’s only winning sector
is gold and silver
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$XAU.X |
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, +2.35%.

Leading the market down are
insurance

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, -4.55%, semiconductors
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,
-4.40%, and software
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, -4.04%.

There are no economic releases for today.

The 10-year U.S. Note
is +175 at 114 290.

The Dollar is -0.62 at
99.55.

Gold is +3.80 at 368.50.

Crude Oil is +0.45 at
32.70.

Volume is at 803,190,000
on the NYSE and at 902,123,000 on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth is negative,
with NYSE declining issues over advancing issues by a ratio of 3.07, and down
volume is over up volume by a 4.42 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing
issues are at 2.93, and down volume is over up volume by a 6.39 ratio.

Leading the Dow lower are:

Walt Disney
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DIS |
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,
4.92% at 16.81, JP Morgan
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JPM |
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, -4.66% at 23.96, Alcoa
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AA |
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, -4.61% at 20.70, American Express
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AXP |
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, -4.56% at
33.66, Intel Corp.
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, -4.19% at 15.97, SBC Communications
(
SBC |
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-4.00% at 24.51.

Stocks in the news:

Coffee retailer Starbucks
(
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,
+12.29% at 22.48, beat its first-quarter earnings expectations by $0.02 with
profits of $0.20 per share. The company was also upgraded by CIBC World Markets
to “sector outperform” from “sector perform.”

Medical equipment and supplies company Varian
Medical

(
VAR |
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, +2.65% at 51.19, beat its first-quarter earnings
expectations by $0.06 with profits of $0.30 per share.

Electric utilities company American Electric
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AEP |
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, -6.99% at 25.01, missed its fourth-quarter earnings expectations by
$0.03 with profits of $0.52 per share.

Printer maker Lexmark
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LXK |
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, -0.13% at
60.76, has been upgraded by Merrill Lynch to “buy” from “neutral.”

Online retailer Amazon.com
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AMZN |
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, +2.16% at 22.26, beat its fourth-quarter earnings expectations by
$0.05 with profits of $0.19 per share.

Despite reporting its first
quarterly loss in its history, restaurant company and Dow component McDonalds
(
MCD |
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, -1.67% at 14.75, has been upgraded by Goldman Sachs to “in-line” from
“underperform.”

In the defense contractor
business, Raytheon
(
RTN |
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, +6.30% at 30.35, missed its earnings
expectations by $0.01 with profits of $0.64 per share. And Lockheed
Martin

(
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, -0.11% at 52.22, beat its expectations by $0.04 with
profits of $0.85 per share, though they guided the full-year 2003 lower.

In the chip business,
KLA-Tencor

(
KLAC |
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, -4.63% at 34.73, beat its second-quarter earnings
expectations by $0.01 with profits of $0.15 per share, but has been downgraded
to “hold” from “buy” by Prudential. Genesis Microchip
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GNSS |
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, -3.75%
at 15.94, beat its third-quarter earnings by $0.02 with profits of $0.09.
Lattice Semiconductor

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LSCC |
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, -6.15% at 8.40, reported earnings in line
with expectations with profits of $0.06 per share. And Flextronics
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FLEX |
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, +1.73% at 8.31, beat its third-quarter earnings expectations by
$0.02 with profits of $0.13.

Also in the sector, Broadcom
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, -15.11% at 14.95, has been downgraded by Merrill Lynch to “sell.”
The company’s CEO also stepped down.

Homebuilder Beazer Homes
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BZH |
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, -1.18% at 61.43, beat its first-quarter earnings expectations by
$0.08 with profits of $2.75 per share.

Retailer Dollar Tree
(
DLTR |
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PowerRating)
, -9.90% at 22.66, missed its fourth-quarter earnings
expectations by $0.01 with profits of $0.76 per share.

danielb@tradingmarkets.com