Here’s What’s Weighing On Techs Today

Stocks are
lower this midday.
The major indices are
modestly lower on this options expiration Friday. Positive economic news from
the still red-hot housing sector, as well as rising consumer sentiment, are
failing to inspire more buying in this overbought market. Housing starts rose by
the second-fastest rate since 1986 as the Commerce Department reported a 3.4%
jump in new home construction. Building permits slipped 2.2% but was still above
economists’ expectations.

Meanwhile, consumer sentiment
rose for the first time in three months. Stocks are lower today with the Nasdaq
taking the major of the beating. Internet issues are particularly weak after
eBay’s 2004 outlook and Double Click’s
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and Cnet’s
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outlook. Could this be the start of the long-awaited pullback?

Consider the following:

  • On Wednesday, Oct. 15, the
    major indices made multi-month highs but subsequently reversed

  • Then yesterday, the broader
    indices (S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite) tried for a comeback and closed up
    slightly

  • Today, the indices took out
    both Wednesday’s and Thursday’s lows

Bonds are higher today despite
the positive economic news.

The Dow Jones Industrial
Average

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is -0.51% at 9741.47. The S&P 500
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is -0.76% at 1042.10. The Nasdaq
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is -1.52% at 1920.44.

The day’s leading sectors are
Telecom
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, +0.06%.

Weak today are Internets
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, -4.45%, Internet Commerce
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, -2.65%,
Biotechs

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, -2.40%, Semiconductors
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,
-2.25%, and Gold Bugs
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, -1.34%.

In economic news, Housing
Starts in September came in at 1.888M vs. expectations of 1.827M. Building
Permits came in at 1.860M vs. 1.835M. The University of Michigan’s Consumer
Sentiment Index came for October came in at 89.4% vs. expectations of 88.2.

30-year Bonds are +155
at 110 020.

The dollar
is -0.15 at 92.75.

Gold is -2.00 at 371.20.

Crude Oil is -1.29 at
30.25.

Volume is 710,000,000 on
the NYSE, and 1,006,000,000 on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth is negative,
with NYSE declining issues over advancing issues by 1.91 and down over up
volume by 2.64; Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues at 1.91, and down
volume over up volume at 3.62.

Top Dow stocks are:

DuPont
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, +0.49% at 40.79,
3M

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, +0.48% at 73.96, SBC [SBC|SBC
],
+0.36% at 22.05, McDonalds

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,
+0.34% at 24.05, and Coca-Cola
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, +0.15% at 45.07.

Stocks in the news:

Broadband equipment maker
Broadcom

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is trading lower by 6% after Smith Barney downgraded
the stock from “Hold” to “Buy”. The firm based the downgrade on high valuations
and believes that sales momentum will slow. Yesterday Broadcom reported that its
third-quarter net loss narrowed to 2 cents a share compared to 68 cents a share
in the year-ago quarter. Revenues rose 47% to $425.6 million.

RSA Security
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is lower by more than 18% after the company provided fourth-quarter estimates
that were below expectations. The company did report a third-quarter profit of 6
cents a share compared to a loss of 14 cents a share in the year-ago quarter.
The results topped consensus estimates by a penny. Looking ahead, the company
sees Q4 revenues between $63 million to $67 million and earnings between 4 to 7
cents a share. Consensus estimates are calling for revenues of $66.9 million and
earnings of 7 cents a share. RSA CEO, Jeff Glidden, commented that “We still
don’t see large upticks. IT budgets are still constrained, and we do not see any
significant increases in IT spending.”

Internet auction site eBay
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is trading lower by 5.5% after the company reported in line
third-quarter results but disappointed traders with its fourth-quarter outlook.
For its third quarter, earnings excluding item came in at 16 cents a share
compared to 11 cents a share in the year-ago quarter. Excluding items, the
company earned 18 cents a share. Revenues jumped 84% to a $530.9 million.
Looking ahead, the company sees fiscal 2004 results to be 98 cents a share,
compared to estimates of $1.05 a shae.

Medimmune
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is
lower by 5.5% after Wal-Mart
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scrapped a plan to sell the company’s
nasally administered “FluMist” flu vaccine. Wal-Mart scrapped the plans after
regulatory concerns governing the administration of the vaccine.

If you have any comments or
questions, please feel free to email me.


Vincent Mao


vincentm@tradingmarkets.com