The Energy Money Pit Provides Traders With Another Plus Day
The SPX
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), +0.2% to 1222.21, made
it four straight plus days and has been positive six of the seven days in July
since the 06/30 1191.32 close. This is a gain of +2.6%. The Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was off 6 points yesterday to 10,514 with the
(
QQQQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) +0.5% to 38.30 and
Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) +0.4% to 2143. It was essentially energy and technology
up with the
(
OIH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), +1.7%, leading and the previous negative sectors
finishing red yesterday, like the Transportation index ($TRAN), -0.7%, XLI
(industrial SPDR), -0.5%, and XLB (basic material SPDR), -0.3%. The
(
TLT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was -0.6% and the US Dollar -1.3% to 88.35 after reversing at the 90 – 92
resistance zone. A decline in the US Dollar is never very good for the
multinational companies doing the largest percentage of their business on
foreign soil, regardless of their hedging activities. Check any of these kinds
of stocks on a relative performance basis to the US Dollar and you will see what
I mean. The RTH was +1.3%, while the semiconductors had another up day with the
(
SMH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) +0.2%.
NYSE volume was in line with the previous five
days at 1.45 billion shares and the volume ratio 61 with breadth only +484 which
is not a real positive relative to the SPX 1222.21 close. The major index proxy
volumes were all close to their average volume number. Suffice to say, the 4 MAs
of the volume ratio and breadth are short-term overbought at 67 and +973. The
(
SPY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) has given us three days of rising price, narrowing range and declining
volume after last Thursday’s initial London reversal day when the SPX and SPY
hit intraday lows of 1183.55 and 118.26.
The SPY hit a 122.63 intraday high yesterday with
the magnet level being 123.25, which they will try to take out before any
decline. That also puts the SPY into the larger
RST zone, yet there is a smaller
one after yesterday’s high with the 121.64 low. Defer to the magnet 123.25 high
being taken out because if I was part of the PPT (Plunge Protection Team), that
would be a no-brainer and the current process started after the London attack.
Daytraders had idle hands yesterday trading the
S&P futures/SPY as the SPX traded in a contracted volatility pattern with just a
3.7 point range until a quick program breakout above 1220 on the 1:25 p.m. ET
bar which ran to the 1225.54 intraday high (see chart). However, the energy
stocks were daytrader’s gold once again. After the gap-up openings, many of
these stocks retraced below the previous day’s highs, then reversed those highs
to the upside which was a valid trade-through entry on stocks like the OIH,
(
DO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) and
(
RIG |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) to name a few (see chart).
This is an option expiration week, so that can
add some random market action and it is also a Fibonacci ratio time zone, 07/13
– 07/15.
Have a good trading day,
Kevin Haggerty
P.S. I will be
referring to some charts at
www.thechartstore.com in the future.