Random Expiration Price Movement Is Daytrading Opportunity
The market action around a major option
expiration like June usually means lots of random price movement which
oftentimes is out of context of what you might expect. This makes the daytrader
a pawn in the game, but still enables you to react and capitalize on any
extended intraday price movement, just as you should have done yesterday. For
example, the
(
QQQQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) closed at 37.70, +0.3%, and a daytrader had a 1,2,3 HB
entry above 37.31, which was a +1.1% move from entry catching the afternoon
trend up from 1:45 p.m. ET into the close. The QQQQ had closed on Tuesday at
37.58, opened up at 37.83 yesterday, made a 37.87 intraday high on the 9:35 a.m.
bar, then knifed straight down to 37.25 and formed a 1,2,3 HB. The -1.0 and
-1.28 volatility bands were 37.29 and 37.21. The
(
SMH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) had the same 1,2,3 HB
setup with entry above 33.74 after making a 33.65 intraday low, which was also
the -1.28 volatility band. The advance after entry was +1.7%, and yet the SMH
was only +0.2% on the day. Net net, if you are not versed in
RSTs and
1,2,3s in
conjunction with my Core Framework, then you are missing major profit
opportunities.
On the day, the SPX
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) was +0.2% to
1206.58 with an intraday high of 1208.08 and back to the rally high range. The
Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) was also +0.2% to 10,556, with the Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
+0.3% to 2075. NYSE volume was 1.39 billion shares, the volume ratio 60 and
breadth +598. In the sectors, it was gold (XAU +1.6%), energy (OIH +1.4%) and
basic materials (XLB +1.0%), which closed at 28.63 for the first close above the
head-and-shoulder neckline, which is a positive, so be ready for any
continuation in some of the smokestack stocks.
(
ROH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), mentioned on Monday,
broke out of an 18-day range above the high range close of 47.20, closing at
48.23 yesterday. If the Transportations also get going and the Generals can
break out the SMH (semis) from the prolonged range between 34.95 – 29.65, they
will have a successful mark-up into month-end June (six-month report card).
The next commentary will be on Monday
Have a good trading day and have a great weekend,
Kevin Haggerty
P.S. I will be
referring to some charts here:
www.thechartstore.com in the future.