Monday’s Options Alerts

The tough times continued today as a
better-than-expected GDP report failed to spark buying interest. The Dow
closed below the psychological 10K mark for the first time in over two months.
The Nasdaq also fell to a six month low. All major indices closed near their
lows of the day. We are very oversold and we could be due for a bounce. First quarter GDP came in at an
annualized rate of 5.8%, which topped estimates of 5%.  However, the drop
in the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index neutralized the
effect of the GDP report. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the market
recap
.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

opened near its lows and closed near the highs of the day. This intraday shift in
sentiment
suggests an increase in fear. Today’s action in the VIX triggered both a CVR
III and VII
buy signals. In addition, the VIX continued to be in overbought territory
which means that the market is getting more oversold.  The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
  opened near the
lows of the range and closed in the top third of its range. This intraday shift in sentiment
also suggests an increase in investors’ fear. No CVR signals were triggered by the
VXN today. However the VXN is also in overbought territory and is close to
setting up a CVR II buy. Overall the jump in fear along with the oversold
conditions could produce a bounce next week.  

Points of Significance:

Despite the weakness in the biotech
sector, Invitrogen
(
IVGN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained almost 10% on over double its average volume. The
stock jumped after it reported first quarter earnings that beat estimates by
five cents. The company also announced the closing of a facility in Huntsville,
Alabama. Shares of Invitrogen are stuck in a trading range after hitting
resistance. There is very heavy
activity in the June 37.50 calls.

Dollar Tree Stores
(
DLTR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
jumped
10% on four times its average volume. Late yesterday, the company reported first
quarter earnings that doubled from the same period a year ago. The results also
beat estimates by seven cents. Dollar Tree shares gapped up and broke out of its
trading range to a new 52 week high. 

Starbucks
(
SBUX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gave back 7% on triple its average volume.
Yesterday the company revealed first quarter earnings that would have beat
estimates by a penny if not for a one time charge to settle a lawsuit. The
company also raised outlook for the year. There is heavy activity in the July 25
calls. 

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 24.64 UP
1.59
CVR
III, VI BUY
12.72%
Above
At
Extreme
VXN 42.24 UP
2.06
NONE 5.39
% Above
Not
at Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Verisign VRSN
45.77
10511 2167
Overture
Services
OVER +
31.75
11530 2396
Invitrogen  IVGN
6.88
1566 282
Dollar
Tree Stores
DLTR +
10.21
1732 432
Gilead
Sciences
GILD
9.22
6435 1658
Starbucks SBUX
7.17
18323 3046

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
El
Paso Corp
EP 43.6 34.6 61.4 31.2
American
Medical Systems
AMMD 45.8 36.4 64.6 44.2
Gartner
Group
IT 46.2 37.4 61.7 38.9
Lone
Star Steakhouse
STAR 14.2 11.5 45.2 12.1
CMS
Energy
CMS 38.1 30.9 39.4 26
Dynegy DYN 91.3 74.6 97.9 46.3

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Simplex
Solutions
SPLX 39.2 63.4 92.5 70.7
Conoco COC 21.4 26.4 37.1 20.7
Manpower MAN 28 34 40.3 32.2
Cemex
S.A.
CX 25.5 29.7 32.1 21.9
Kinder
Morgan Energy
KMP 23.2 20.5 41.4 20.9
Overture
Services
OVER 84.6 95.5 110.3 74

Please use stops on every trade!