Thursday’s Options Alerts

Weakness in tech stocks and mixed
economic data dragged the markets lower today. The Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed
lower for the sixth straight session and is closing in on its February lows.

Despite a disappointing March durable goods report, the major indices drifted
higher in the morning. However, things turned around sharply after the release of
what seemed to be a positive Beige Book report. Internet issues showed strength
today, helped out by better-than-expected earnings from Amazon.com
(
AMZN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
.

Semiconductors
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
were among the biggest losers today as they
cracked below the 200-day moving average. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the market
recap
.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

opened near the top third of its range and closed slightly above its open. This intraday shift in
sentiment
suggests that fear is increasing. Again no CVR signals were triggered by the VIX today.
However, the VIX is getting slightly overbought which means that the market is
getting oversold. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
  opened near its highs and closed
near its midpoint. This intraday shift in sentiment suggests a decrease in fear.
Reversing from yesterday’s sell signals, the VXN triggered a CVR
I
buy signal. 

Points of Significance:

E-tailing giant Amazon.com
(
AMZN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

jumped almost 20% on over triple its average volume. The company reported a
smaller-than-expected first quarter loss late Tuesday and increased its sales
outlook for next quarter. The stock looks ready to challenge its old highs but
there is resistance in the 17.60 area. There is very heavy
activity in the June 17.50 and 20 calls.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals
(
VRTX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

lost 18% on six times its average volume. The shares were sliced after the
company reported a first quarter loss that was a penny more than expectations.
Vertex attributed the loss to higher-than-expected R&D costs. The company
also announced that phase II trials of its arthritis drug Aventis showed
that it was not more effective than a placebo. 

InVision Technologies
(
INVN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
lost
over 20% on five times its average volume. The shares came under pressure today
after the Bush administration reduced plans to buy bomb-detecting devices for
airports. The stock had a bearish key reversal outside day. There is heavy
activity in the May 30 puts.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 22.68 UP
0.55
NONE 5.34%
Above
Not
at Extreme
VXN 40.18 UP
0.25
CVR
I BUY
0.007
% Below
Not
at Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Amazon.com AMZN +
19.41
27552 5592
Verisign VRSN
16.58
8963 2331
Expedia EXPE +
13.86
3359 1031
Taro
Pharmaceuticals
TARO +
10.02
1007 226
Forrest
Labs
FRX +
5.87
4255 769
Applied
Films
AFCO +
6.72
3023 215

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Vertex
Pharmaceuticals
VRTX 74.4 59 89.4 58.5
XCEL
Energy
XEL 18.6 15.2 31.8 18.1
OSI
Pharmaceuticals
OSIP 59.4 48.6 68.2 50.1
Istar
Financial
SFI 18 15.3 31.1 18.1
InVision
Technologies
INVN 96.2 83.7 139.9 78.6
Emmis
Communications
EMMS 49.2 44.5 69 46.5

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Amazon.com AMZN 60 81.5 108.5 68.4
Basic
Industries SPDRs
XLB 16.8 22.3 42 16.8
Websense WBSN 65.2 85.5 82.8 67.6
Union
Planters
UPC 12.9 16.3 29 17
Sigma
Aldrich
SIAL 28 35.2 34.5 28.5
Forest
Labs
FRX 31 36.6 37.7 26.8

Please use stops on every trade!