Wednesday’s Options Alerts

Better-than-expected earnings from the semiconductors and telecoms ignited
the major averages today. Tech stocks had a field day today as better-than-expected results from Novellus
(
NVLS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and Texas Instruments
(
TXN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
helped the Nasdaq to a 3.5% gain.
Several pieces of economic data that showed a benign inflationary environment
also helped to boost the market today. Industrial production for March increased
0.7% compared to estimates of a 0.5% increase, the biggest increase since
May 2000. Capacity utilization rose to 75.4%.  beating estimates of 75%. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the market
recap
.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

opened at its highs and closed near its lows. This intraday shift in intraday sentiment
suggests that fear in decreasing. No CVR signals were triggered by the VIX today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened near its highs and closed near its lows. This too shows a
decrease in fear. The VXN did not trigger any CVR signals either. Volatility
took a beating today on the positive earnings news however we have Greenspan
testifying before the Joint Economic Committee tomorrow. 

Points of Significance:

Multimedia Gaming
(
MGAM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
lost over
25% on 14 times its average volume.
The shares took a dive today after the Deputy General Council of the National
Indian Gaming Commission ruled negatively about the classification of its popular
bingo game MegaNanza. Multimedia’s shares fell below its .618 retracement from
its January low to March high. There is heavy activity in the May 35
calls. 

Pacificare Health Systems
(
PHSY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained
over 12% on double its average volume. Shares of Pacificare Health and other
medical-care insurance companies such as Sierra Health Services
(
SIE |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and
Aetna
(
AET |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
continue to rise today on news of insider buying. There is heavy
activity in the May 20 calls.

PMC Sierra
(
PMCS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
jumped 10% on
about average volume. The shares were boosted today on news of better than
expected earnings from Novellus
(
NVLS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and Texas Instrument
(
TXN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
. The
shares are trading in a failed descending triangle, but there is resistance at
the confluence of its 50-day moving average and its .50 retracement at 18. There
is heavy volume in the May 12.50 calls.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 20.30 DOWN
2.08
NONE 4.96%
Below
Not
at Extreme
VXN 39.43 DOWN
2.44
NONE 4.89
% Below
Not
at Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Multimedia
Games
MGAM
25.50
666 100
Pacificare
Health Systems
PHSY +
12.84
3675 331
Scienfitic
Atlanta
SFA +
12.73
12153 1535
Conexant
Systems
CNXT +
11.07
4058 831
Leap
Wireless
LWIN +
10.55
2638 810
PMC
Sierra 
PMCS +
10.45
12837 3013

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Greater
Bay Bancorp
GBBK 38.2 31.1 45.7 31.3
Multimedia
Gaming
MGAM 74.8 61.8 65.3 54.8
Host
Marriot 
HMT 32.3 26.7 69.8 26.9
Gillette G 23.6 20.4 31.5 18.8
Steel
Dynamics
STLD 51.3 44.4 53.5 43.6
Sungard
Data Systems
SDS 41.9 36.7 52.3 32.1

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Financial
Sector SPDRs
XLF 10.5 16.2 28.4 14
BB&T  BBT 15.9 19.1 29.7 16.8
AT&T
Corp.
T 39.9 47.2 46 31.8
Citigroup C 29.2 34.4 38.6 23.6
Istar
Financial 
SFI 16.8 19.7 31.1 19.1
Ameripath PATH 48.3 56.5 76.3 39.1

Please use stops on every trade!