Friday’s Options Alerts…

Despite weak economic data showing the highest level
of jobless claims since May of 1983, Microsoft helped ignite a broad-based rally
today. Stocks ended sharply higher today after Microsoft
(
MSFT |
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PowerRating)
and the DOJ
announced that they are close to a settlement in their landmark antitrust case.
The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
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Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up and opened near the top of its range and closed
near the lows of today. This intraday shift in sentiment suggest that fear is continuing
to subside as positive news is rolling in. Today’s action in the VIX triggered a
CVR
I
buy signal. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

exhibited somewhat similar behavior as it opened near the half-way point of
its range, but
closed near its lows. This intraday shift in sentiment also suggests that fear
is subsiding. The VXN did not trigger any CVR signals for today.

Points of Significance:

Having not having traded in the $10 level since
the attacks, WebMethods
(
WEBM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
broke out today on triple its average daily
volume. Options volume was heavy as it traded over six times its average daily
contract volume. Anadigics Inc.
(
ANAD |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
broke above its 200-day moving
average today on four times its average daily volume. It also broke an
intermediate-term downtrend line. Options activity was heavy as it traded over
eight times its average contract volume. Cigna
(
CI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
continued its downtrend
on double its average volume today. Implied volatility is at a new high, which
means that you should be looking to sell premium. UAL Corp’s.
(
UAL |
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Chart |
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PowerRating)
implied
volatility is near a new high. Like most airline stocks, UAL is still
sharply off since the September attacks. EMN
(
EMN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
is pulling back from
lows, however it’s facing resistance at its 20-day moving average. EMN
‘s implied
volatility is also at a new high. CMS Energy is also pulling back from lows. CMS
is facing resistance at its 50-day moving average.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 34.18 DOWN 1.10 CVR
I
1.40 % Above Not At Extreme
VXN 61.18 DOWN 1.17 NONE 1.84 %
Under
Not At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

– Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
WebMethods WEBM + 24.05 3376 513
Network
Appliance
NTAP +
18.27
11824 4347
Advanced
Micro Devices
AMD +
16.87
13129 5370
Anadigics
Inc.
ANAD +
12.38
2675 304
Kulicke &
Soffa
KLIC + 12.26 3624 883
Med-Design MEDC +
11.42
706 352

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
– Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day.

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
CIGNA CI 52.5 42.8 40.2 28
ServiceMaster SVM 40.2 33.3 42.4 21.5
Progress Energy PGN 25.3 21.8 29.1 17.9
Solutia SOI 45.6 39.5 42.1 32
Eastman Chemical EMN 43.3 38 35.1 29.7
CMS Energy CMS 42.6 37.6 47.7 27.6

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Biomet BMET 38.4 45.3 65.2 32.6
UAL Corp. UAL 79.2 93.1 80 33.7
Pediatirx
Medical Group
PDX 72.8 84.5 95.4 37.1
Panamsat SPOT 54.3 62.9 67.1 43.6
Cresent Real
Estate
CEI 26.6 30.4 29.5 17
First
American Financial
FAF 43.9 49.8 62 43.3

Please use stops on every trade!