Looking For A Base
For today, the first key area of resistance is going to be between 1378 and 1383. If we can get above this zone, it should provide a base throughout the trading day.
This morning, S&Ps were trading at 1378.50, up 450 points. Third quarter ECI came out this morning at the low end of expectations at +0.9%. The market’s initial response was a small rally. But we have since come back to where we were trading before the number was released.
For today, the first key area of resistance is going to be between 1378 and 1383. If we can get above this zone, it should provide a base throughout the trading day. Above this, we are looking for a move to 1392. Along the way, 1388.50-1390 will be resistance. If we get above 1392, expect a good thrust to yesterday’s high of 1403. Along the way, 1397-1398.50 will be resistance.
On the downside, the key area is going to be 1375-1373. If we fail here, look for a move to 1360. Along the way, 1368-1366.50 will be critical. If we were to fall below 1360, the next target is the October 18 gap at 1352.80. Along the way, 1356-1355 should provide a little support. If we get under 1352.80, the next level is 1344.50. We have support between 1347-1343. Remember, our low settlement for this contract is 1344.50.
The NASDAQ was hammered yesterday; currently trading up 1500 at 3167. What can you say other than the momentum players went out and shot all the optical networking stocks, and just for fun they clipped the wings of a couple others. Today, after the close, JDS Uniphase
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PowerRating) reports earnings. Possible redemption? We’ll find out. At the worst yesterday, it was a very aggressive sell-off.
To start, high to low we’ve dropped more than 10% in two sessions. With the way we’re moving we’re not far from challenging the October low of 3025.
For today, we see support between 3150-3133. Under that, expect a move to yesterday’s low of 3105. We have support between 3100 and 3085. If we get below that, look for a move to limit down at 3056.50. If that does not take the steam out of the down move, look for 2950. We see 3025-3011 and 2985-2980 as support.
Resistance is at 3185-3200; if we get above 3200, look for a move to 3260. Along the way, 3225-3230 will be resistance. Above 3260, the picture looks much better, and we could move as high as 3325. Along the way, 3290-3305 is resistance.
As for the Dow, we’re still looking for the same thing as yesterday. We need some basing and probable retracement, although it is worth noting that the Dow has been catching a flight to quality bid. In addition, the financial sector remains strong.