Welcome To The New Year

More accumulation
Wednesday,
less impressive on
the surface, but no less impressive given the uncertainty ahead of Greenspan’s
talk.

 

What with the likes of Merrill
(
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,
LaBranche
(
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(the major NYSE specialist firm), Lehman
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, etc.
clearing bases to new highs, the market continues to look at the slowdown as
anything but severe.

If the market was expecting a severe,
long-lasting recession, à la ’73-’75, these brokers would not be rolling onto
fresh turf.

That said, the market has plenty of
work ahead of it.

For instance, Microsemi
(
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failed on Tuesday’s breakout of its handle, serving up the latest evidence that
growth is not yet ready.

Like Cabot Micro
(
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, MSCC’s
base is of the sort that would work given a Nasdaq uptrend with more definition.

Right stock, wrong market.

Given the above semi-related activity,
the behavior of Dupont Photo
(
DPMI |
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, a top-acting semi equip, will be of
interest as it moves up to the top of its seven-month base.

Ditto for Plantronics
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in the
telecom space.

Peoplesoft
(
PSFT |
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, one of the
first of the failed breakouts from two weeks back, is forming a high handle to
go with its W base.

Alliance Capital
(
AC |
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is coming out
of a 1-2-3 pullback in the handle of its four-month pattern.

"I buy one breakout that works,
and then I buy another that doesn’t," muttered a San Francisco hedge fund
manager, who neglected to say that the successful breakout ultimately failed.

Welcome to the New Year.