Cocoa Grinds To A Halt

Cocoa is erasing some of the gains accumulated after a
five-day rally, falling due to a weaker-than-expected second-quarter US grind
report Friday. Although the report showed 5% more cocoa beans were ground from
year-ago levels, the amount of cocoa butter and liquor melted was down almost
50%, reflecting diminished demand and a huge year 2000 harvest surplus. Cocoa is
down 5%, or $46 a ton at 841. 

With the worst of the cold season largely over in Brazil
and forecasts of freezing temperatures failing to materialize in the primary
growing regions, September coffee
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is following the London market
lower Monday, plunging back to within one-day’s trading range of contract lows.
The contract is 12%, or 11.65, lower at 85.00.

Unable to extend a three-day rally and move beyond a
recent 20-day high, September T-bonds
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are making good on a Turtle Soup Plus One
Sell
setup, falling as traders await confirmation that the economy has
slowed enough to keep inflationary pressures at bay. Consumer confidence
(consensus 139.00) on Tuesday, durable goods (consensus .5%) and employment cost
index (consensus 1%) on Thursday, and Q2 gross domestic product (consensus 3.5%)
on Friday will provide clues this week about the pace of economic and price
growth.

With the peak driving season now approaching completion,
demand for fuel is falling, sending crude oil
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and unleaded gasoline
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down over 2%. Natural gas futures
are also lower on ideas that demand for nat gas for cooling will decrease and
supplies (injections) into storage will rise. Natural gas,
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and
unleaded gasoline notably posted on the
Implosion-5 List
for the first time after rallying to multi-year highs.