Confidence Men

Interest rate futures are surging after consumer
confidence hit a five-year low. Consumer confidence is being particularly
closely watched because Alan Greenspan mentioned in recent Congressional
testimony on the economy that it will play a pivotal role in any economic
recovery. 


T-bonds

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hinted they could trade higher by registering on the Momentum-5
List
. Additionally, both T-bonds and 10-years closed on their highs
yesterday. 

Both contracts made good on Off The Blocks
setups and on intraday-pullback-from-highs setups. 

Federal Funds futures are also trading at contract records. The July contract
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is now fully pricing in a 75-basis-point hike and a 96% chance of a
100-point cut (1%). 

Pork contracts April lean hogs
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and March pork bellies
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continue to remain on a tear. The latest from the UK is that the foot-and-mouth
outbreak is spreading. Pork is rising on the shortage of meat. Both contracts
are on the Momentum-5
List
: bellies are up 2.350 and hogs are up .325.

Coffee
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 continues to yield signs
that it may be bottoming. It was on the Momentum-5
for Monday, formed an outside bar that closed above its mid-point yesterday, has
been printing higher lows and has held above its Feb. 20 Turtle Soup Plus One
buy pivot.Â