Could The French Vote Affect Multinationals’ Profits?

Stocks took a breather after last week’s gains.

Consumer confidence for May was 102.2, better than expected. In April,
consumer confidence was 97.5. Chicago PMI was 54.1 in May, worse than expected
and a 2-year low, and compares with a 65.6 figure for April.

The dollar has risen 5% against the euro after French voters turned
down the European Constitution, prompting traders to wonder about the impact on
multinational corporations’ earnings. Ten year notes closed under 4%, at 3.996%.

The Supreme Court overturned Arthur Anderson’s conviction of
destroying Enron-related documents, citing flawed jury instructions.

Alcoa
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is lower after the company said it received a subpoena
related to an aluminum fluoride industry investigation.

United Natural Foods
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beat by a penny. Profit rose 24%.

Genentech
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said trials show Lucentis, along with Visudyne,
maintained or improved vision in about 90% of patients with wet AMD.

Piper Jaffray upped its target price on Google to $300. Many traders
expect the stock will be added to the S&P 500 after August.

The Business Roundtable May CEO Economic Outlook Survey indicates that
85% of CEOs expect sales to continue to increase and 70% expect to add jobs or
maintain the current levels of employment in 2005.

Mechanics for United Airlines approved a new labor pact with a lower wage
scale. UAL hopes to dig itself out of bankruptcy. In related sector news, Merrill Lynch raised Northwest Airlines
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to a ‘buy.’

For the month of May, the S&P has gained 3.6%, the Sox 11.6% and the Nasdaq,
7.7%. Gold fell 4.3% in May. On the earnings front, for the month, 67% of S&P
500 companies exceeded expectations; 13% matched and 20% missed expectations.
Ebay added 20% in May, Intel 16%, Dell 15% and Cisco, 13%.

Strong sectors were:   Airlines
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+1.15%     Brokers
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+0.78%    
Software

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+0.29%  

Weak sectors were:     Oil
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-1.14%   
Computer Technology

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-1.13%   Computer Hardware  
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-1.20%

Dow -73.60 10,469.03
Nasdaq -7.34 2068.39
S&P 500 -7.18 1191.60

The dollar was +1.05 at
87.47

Crude Oil was +0.12 at
51.97

Gold was -2.00 at 415.30

ce=”Arial” size=”2″ face=”Arial”>Volume was 1.47 billion on the NYSE and
1.63 billion on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth was mixed.

NYSE Issues
Advancing 1695 Up Vol 610
Declining 1586 Down Vol 867
1.06 1.42
Nasdaq
Advancing 1533 Up Vol 612
Declining 1527 Down Vol 813
1.00 1.32

Stocks in the News

Citigroup raised its rating on ExxonMobil
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and
ChevronTexaco

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. JP Morgan also raised its rating on XOM.

American Insurance Group
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filed its annual report, restating
years 2000-2003 and adjusted 2004 net income by 11.9%.

Tibco
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is revising its Q2  forecast lower.

Novellus
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raised Q2 guidance.

Ameritrade confirmed it is in merger talks with TD Waterhouse.

Dreamworks
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is making new lows after the release of
“Madagascar,” which has been panned by some.

Brice Wightman

 

 

 

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