Daytraders Profit From June Reallocation Programs
The June reallocation buy programs teed off on
the 10:00 a.m. ET bar, and daytraders were given a bonus. The
(
SPY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) broke
out of a 12-bar range between 119.70 – 119.39 and made the intraday high at
120.92 on the 11:20 a.m. bar. The day was essentially over from the long side as
the SPY went sideways between 120.92 – 120.55 until the 2:40 p.m. sell programs
took the SPY down from 120.61 to 120.00 on just two bars. The SPY drifted up
into the 120.50 close (see chart). The SPX
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), 1202.22, and Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), 2088, were each +0.9%, with the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), 10,549, and
(
QQQQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), 38.37, each +0.8%. All of the primary sectors were green, led by
the XLE, +1.9%, while the XBD,
(
OIH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) and RTH were all +1.2% with the
(
TLT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) up again +1.3%.
It was a reallocation program day, so there is no
analysis needed or warranted. We are just pawns in the bigger game. Daytraders
got the bonus, provided you were ready for the reallocation June money getting
put to work. Programs are now more than 50% of total volume because there are so
many gutless mutual funds that are nothing more than quasi-index funds, yet
still expect you to pay their fees, including the rip-off 12B-1 fees. NYSE
volume was 1.4 billion shares with the volume ratio 78 and breadth +1562. Both
four-day moving averages are overbought.
Volume in the SPY (70mm shs) was right around its
average (72mm), while the QQQQ volume, 111mm, was about 10% above average. Also
exceeding its average volume was the
(
DIA |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), trading 31% above its 8mm share
average. The
(
SMH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), +0.6%, traded 36mm shares, which is +33% above its 27mm
share average. The energy sector was up for the sixth day of the past seven, led
by the XLE, +1.9%. This sector is a primary profit center for daytraders, and
there were multiple opportunities yesterday in individual energy stocks, as well
as the XLE and OIH. I have included a
(
DO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) five-minute chart outlining the
very basic, but highly profitable, Opening Reversal (OR) pattern, which had the
initial range filter with the 47.45 high and 47.22 low. When the Opening
Reversal is combined with contracted volatility, it is even a higher probability
setup. I have also included an
(
SLB |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) chart that has a similar contracted
volatility pattern setup after the initial small gap-up opening bar. The
programs were the additional catalyst, and price accelerated to a 70.36 intraday
high.
Yesterday’s commentary outlined my short-term
view regarding the current market risk factor, and suffice to say, any good
intraday short setups will be taken this week and kept if there is a sufficient
profit cushion at day’s end.
This is being recorded Wednesday night for
Thursday.
Have a good trading day,
Kevin Haggerty
P.S. I will be
referring to some charts here:
www.thechartstore.com in the future.