Dollar Falls, Stocks Slip, Treasuries Thrive

The U.S. dollar hit a 2 month low today against the Euro on tomorrow’s rate cut anticipation. Fed Fund Futures are placing a strong possibility on a 75 basis point cut, pushing rates down to the historic low of 0.25%. Stocks dropped on economic woes and fears that the Madoff fraud will have wide ranging negative effects on stocks. The DJIA closed down -65.15 to 8564.53, the tech heavy Nasdaq slipped -32.38 to 1508.34 and the broad based S&P 500 dropped -11.16 to 868.57.

Newmont Mining
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– Climbed 5.30% or $1.90 to $37.74 as the dollar drop pushed up the price of commodities.

Apple
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– Fell 3.58% or $3.52 to $94.75 after being downgraded by Goldman Sachs to neutral due to slowing consumer spending.

Gaylord Entertainment
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– Soared 11.05% or $1.00 to $10.05/share after Gabelli and Co. stated it might be a takeover target.

General Motors
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– Climbed 3.55% or 0.14 cents to $4.08/share on hope that the George Bush bail out plan will happen sooner rather than later.

Oil fell $1.77 to $44.86, gold added $16.00 to $836.50, and the fear index VIX climbed 4.57% to 58.38

Market Snapshot

Dow

-65.15 8564.53

NASDAQ

-32.38 1508.34

S&P 500

-11.16 868.57

Economic
News

NY Empire State Index (Dec): Consensus -27.0, Prior -25.4

Net Foreign Purchases (Oct): Consensus NA, Prior $66.2B

Capacity Utilization (Nov): Consensus 75.9%, Prior 76.4%

Industrial Production (Nov): Consensus -0.5%, Prior 1.3%

Building Permits (Nov): Consensus 700K, Prior 708K

Core CPI (Nov): Consensus 0.1%, Prior -0.1%

CPI (Nov): Consensus -1.3%, Prior -1.0%

Housing Starts (Nov): Consensus 730K, Prior 791K

FOMC Policy Statement: Consensus NA, Prior NA

Crude Investories (Dec 13): Consensus NA, Prior NA

Initial Claims (Dec 13): Consensus NA, Prior NA

Leading Indicators (Nov): Consensus -0.5%, Prior -0.8%

Philadelphia Fed (Dec): Consensus -40.0, Prior -39.3

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