Fed: Be Prepared For A Rate Increase


Stocks were mixed Tuesday after the Fed

kept rates
unchanged
but set the stage for higher rates, saying it will move at
a "measured pace" going forward. In addition, the "patient" wording from
previous statements was removed. Fed funds rates stand at a 46-year low of 1%.
The market spiked after the 2:15 PM Fed announcement

but the move  didn’t hold, as there was no
follow-through buying. A few traders on the floor of the NYSE booed the
announcement, preferring the Fed start to raise rates immediately. Fed funds
futures currently indicate a 50% chance of a 1/4% rise in June; there is another
meeting in August. Higher rates can be interpreted as an endorsement of a
growing economy. Former Fed Governor Alan Blinder said that a rate increase is
coming "relatively soon."

Tyco
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reported earnings of $782.4 million on revenue of $10.04 billion with strength
in its engineered products, healthcare and electronics units. For the third
quarter, it expects to earn 39 cents on revenue of $10.01 billion and for the
full year, it upped EPS to exceed $1.52. Clear Channel Communications
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reported improvements in its advertising division. Earnings rose to $116.5
million and revenue was up 11%.

The Air France/KLM
merger takes effect today with the new stock — NYSE: AKH — starting to trade
tomorrow. The new combined airline become the 3rd largest by traffic and #1 in
terms of revenue. The French government owns 43% of the company.

Oil prices made a 13-year high,
with unleaded gas at a 20-year high.

After the close, Protein
Design Labs

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missed by 0.02, ex-items; Prudential beat by
0.04; Western Wireless
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beat handily, by 0.16; Jill Group
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beat by 0.07 and guided higher; Whole Foods
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beat
by 0.05 and raised Y04 guidance; Renaissance Re
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beat by 0.31.

Dow +3.20
10317.20
S&P 500
+2.02
1119.51
Nasdaq
+11.76

1950.48

The day’s leading sectors were
Amex Gold Bugs

(
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+3.83%, Gold and Silver
(
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+3.32%, Networking
(
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+2.08%, Semis
(
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+1.17%,

Weak today were Biotechs
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-1.80%, Healthcare
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-1.74%.

Economic news releases today: a
much stronger-than-expected factory orders increase at 4.3%

10-year Notes were -065
at 110 095

The dollar
was -1.00 at 89.76

Gold was +3.91 at 391.15

Crude Oil was +0.74 at
38.98

Volume was 1.66 billion
on the NYSE, and 1.85 billion on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth was positive.

NYSE Issues
Advancing
1904 Up Vol 1036
Declining 1398 Down Vol 603
Ratio 1.36 1.71
Nasdaq
Advancing
1867 Up Vol 1211
Declining
1284 Down Vol 572
Ratio 1.45 2.11

Stocks in the news:

Marvel Enterprises
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rose sharply after posting
earnings of $31.2 million on revenue of $122.4 million, well ahead of
expectations.

Qwest Communications
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Q |
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reported a net-loss of $310
million with a 4% drop in revenue. For the next quarter, the company forecasts
improvements in its long-distance and data business divisions.

Priceline.com
(
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posted earnings of $5.1
million on revenue of $224.1 million.

Macrovision
(
MVSN |
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posted earnings of $10.8
million on revenue of $38 million and raised its 2004 outlook. It expects EPS to
reach 17 cents in Q2. The stock is 26% higher on 6X average volume.

Brice Wightman

bricew@tradingmarkets.com