Forget fundamentals, the market’s in rally mode
Wednesday was what we
figured it would be… a day of rest. Price action held high ground
and in some cases new highs from there. Again, new highs for oil and nosebleed
levels for gold are irrelevant to stock market bulls: quit raising interest
rates and Dow 20,000 must be next. Right? We’ll see.
S&P 500 futures were tradable from the long side
for modest gains on at least two swings. A short fade off morning highs to the
daily pivot support was also valid. A 10pt total range, decent but muted action.
Russell 2000 futures held higher ground, did not
touch their pivot point for the second session in a row. That only happens in
the midst of strong trend-swing periods, of which this is one. Profits were all
on the upside swings, several long signals valid in this one too.
ES (+$50 per index point)
ER
(+$100 per index point)
ES (+$50 per index point)
Daily chart shows overhead congestion in the low
1320s. Between here and there is no man’s land. If those highs are finally
eclipsed for keeps, blue skies lie above.
ER
(+$100 per index point)
Small caps continue their unabated lovefest with
buyers. Every little dip finds new money pouring in… 100% bullish until proven
otherwise.
Summation
Forget about market fundamentals and all that stuff. Markets are in rally mode
with blinders on, oblivious to all else beside the pending end of interest rate
hikes. Once that event finally comes to pass, once the second FOMC meeting comes
where rates remain unchanged it remains to be seen how many stock buyers will be
left with money to burn. Until then, if the tapes keep pointing northward, there
is only one thing to do: buy the market. Successful trading is all about buying
strength and selling weakness on pull backs.
Today is cessation of trading for April index
option contracts. Likely to see some pinning action take place, along with
erratic spikes up or down. That can be especially true for the Russell 2000
contract, so beware of erratic gyrations potential.
Trade To Win
Austin P
(Online video clip tutorials…
open access)