Friday’s Futures Setups

Soybeans look like they want to make good on the
Turtle Soup
setup mentioned yesterday. A move above Thursday’s high
is the signal. Soybean oil
(
BOH2 |
Quote |
Chart |
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did a good job of shaking out the short
entries Thursday, making an inverted “V” intraday pattern. The close
took out the prior low, which looks bearish. Soybean meal
(
SMH2 |
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, trading
in a descending triangle, looks to have support between 146.2 – 146.8. Today’s
bar has it breaking out of the triangle. Since you can make a case for both
directions here, this is a “play it the way it breaks” setup.

Copper
(
HGH2 |
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has formed a head-and-shoulders, with the neckline just
above the 50% retracement of the 11/8 – 11/30 move. Since the neckline is in the
.676 area, a break below is bearish.

After a four-day pullback
off highs
, and a bounce off a confluence of Fib retracements, sugar
(
SBH2 |
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looks like it’s ready to resume its uptrend.

British pounds
(
BPH2 |
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look like they’re ready to trade sideways or pull
back here, having failed to close above the .707 Fib level at 1.4402.

Cocoa
(
CCH2 |
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has support at 1285, near its 50% retracement, and after
today’s strong close, this Momentum
5
member looks bullish going into Friday.

Treasuries
(
USH2 |
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and 10-year notes
(
TYH2 |
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look to continue their
slide as they fall out of their pullback
from lows
.

With poor closes in its last five sessions, orange juice
(
OJF2 |
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still
looks ready to fall off its ledge.

Silver’s
(
SIH2 |
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rise looks suspect as it comes on decreasing volume.

Setup

Direction

Trigger
Soybeans
(SH2)

Turtle
Soup Plus One

up

10-11
ticks above 12/12 low
30-year
bonds
(
USH2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Pullback
Off Lows

down

below
Thursday’s low
Japanese
yen (JYF2)

Volatility
Explosion

down,
but be nimble, as it could also rally!

above/below
Thursday’s high/low
Sugar

(
SBH2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Pullback
Off Highs

up

above
Thursday’s high
Orange
Juice (OJF2)

close
below 50-day MA, seasonal downtrend

down

below
Thursday’s
low
10-year
notes
(
TYH2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Pullbacks
Off Lows

down

below
Thursday’s low
Copper

(
HGH2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Head
& Shoulders

down

below
neckline – .676

Use stops on all your
trades.