Friday’s Options Alerts

It was another seesaw battle today, as
rumors of accounting woes at General Motors
(
GM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
put an early damper on the
markets. However, stocks did show some follow-through, on news of the upwardly
revised first-quarter GDP. The Commerce Department revealed that the first
quarter GDP was 6.1% vs. previous estimates of
5.6%. This was the fastest rate of growth since the fourth quarter of 1999.
Initial jobless claims dropped 10,000 to 388,000, slightly lower than
the 389,000 level expected by economists. 

In the end, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

jumped almost 150 points or 1.64%, the S&P
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained 17.11
points or 1.75%. The Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was the strongest index as it
jumped almost 30 points or 2.08%. Semiconductors were the strongest performers
today after some positive comments from Lehman Brothers
(
LEH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and Motorola
(
MOT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

reaffirming their second-quarter and full-year results. Today’s follow through
does suggest that further upside is likely, but remember, we are in a
downtrend. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the market
recap.

Volatility fell today on news of the
GDP numbers. The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened in the lower third of its range and closed near the
lows of the day. This shift
in intraday sentiment again shows a big decrease in fear. No CVR signals were
triggered today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
a opened near the midpoint of its range, and closed
on its lows. This shift in intraday sentiment
also shows a drop in fear. The VXN triggered CVR
1,2,6
buys today.

Points of Significance:

NVIDIA
(
NVDA |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped almost 15% on more
than double its average volume. The shares got hammered today as investors
worried about the company’s competition and growth prospects. The shares dropped
to an 18-month low. Its implied volatility is also quite high.

Anglogold
(
AU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

dropped more than 6% on heavy volume while the XAU
(
$XAU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped
3.73%. The shares appear to be breaking down from a month-low base.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 30.02 DOWN
2.31
NONE 0.005
% Below
Not
At Extreme
VXN 63.13 DOWN
1.01
CVR
2, 6 BUY
8.21
% Above
Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
NVIDIA NVDA
14.89
20394 4210
Constellation
Brands
STZ +
14.87
1490 100
Clear
Channel Communications
CCU
12.72
12293 2519
Electronic
Data Systems
EDS
14.05
31250 4330
Anglogold
Limited
AU
6.34
295 114
Linear
Technology
LLTC +
6.30
3250 889

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Comcast CMCSA 76.4 53.8 48.4 29.1
Omnicom OMC 100.6 76.1 70.7 24.5
Hispanic
Broadcasting
HSP 64.9 49.5 52.7 39.1
Electronic
Data Systems
EDS 72.2 55.9 48.2 31.1
Clear
Channel Communications
CCU 78.2 61.6 53.8 35
USA
Networks
USAI 68.2 57.2 49.1 38.6

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Ameren
Corp.
AEE 18.8 22.5 23.2 17.1
Emmis
Communications
EMMS 75.2 88 56.2 42.5
Mckesson
HBOC
MCK 31.7 36.6 35.4 24.7
Dell
Computer
DELL 49.6 57 52.1 38.3
Conoco COC 22 25.2 37.1 20.7
AK
Steel
AKS 40.9 46.8 59.4 38.6

Please use stops on every trade!