Friday’s Options Alerts

The larger-than-expected weekly
jobless claims number did help spark an early-morning rally, but the markets
later sold off.
However, the Dow
(
$INDU |
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reclaimed the psychological 10K level, but the broader S&P 500
(
SPX.X |
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and Nasdaq
(
COMPX |
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ended the day weaker. Better-than-expected results from
Hewlett-Packard
(
HWP |
Quote |
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and an upgrade on American Express helped boost the
Dow higher. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the
market
recap.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened and
closed in the bottom half of its range. There was no significant shift in intraday
sentiment. The VIX did not trigger any CVR signals today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened
near its highs and closed on its lows of the day. This intraday shift in sentiment also suggests that fear
declining. The VXN did not trigger any CVR signals, but it is close to a CVR II
sell. With both volatility
indices in overbought areas, we could see a bounce soon. Implied volatilities
are still pretty low and puts could be used for protection.

Points of Significance:

Shares of Polycom
(
PLCM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 12% on over
eight times its average volume. Polycom tried to reassure
investors that there was no new investigation of its finances by securities
regulators. However,
the SEC is investigating past accounts of Picture
Tel, which was acquired by Polycom last October. The stock broke down from
a descending triangle and also broke under its 200-day moving average. Despite
the bearish picture, there is very heavy activity in the March 30 calls.

Whole Foods Market
(
WFMI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained almost
10% on triple its average volume. The company reported a 34% jump in quarterly
earnings and reaffirmed a 15 to 20% growth rate. There is heavy activity in the
September 50 calls.

Cablevision
(
CVC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped almost 8% on triple its average volume.
The company reported a larger-than-expected quarterly loss of $1.63 per shares
vs. estimates of $1.12 per shares. The company attributed the results to software glitches which interrupted its marketing efforts. There is activity in
the March 35 puts.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 22.89 UP
0.47
NONE 8.40
% Below
Not
at Extreme
VXN 42.14 DOWN
2.03
NONE 8.96
% Below
Not
at Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement
Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Polycom PLCM – 12.70 13929 1764
Optimal
Robotics
OPMR
11.77
896 368
Kronos KRON – 11.59 1328 133
Whole
Foods Markets
WFMI +
9.61
1757 262
DRS
Technologies
DRS + 7.95 1045 213
Cablevision
Systems
CVC
7.83
35927 1059

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Moody’s
Corporation
MCO 39.2 29 34.3 25.7
Novartis NVS 24.6 20.6 34.4 24.2
Nucor Corp. NUE 37.1 31.3 42.5 31
Impath IMPH 77.9 66 70.9 52.8
Federal Home
Loan
FRE 28.3 24.5 37.3 21.1
Activision ATVI 63.6 55.2 78.3 54

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Expedia Inc. EXPE 60.8 89.7 100.2 44.7
NCO
Group
NCOG 50.6 64.7 74.2 49.3
Watson
Pharmaceuticals
WPI 41.7 51.9 57.3 35.5
Viad VVI 22.9 28.3 44.2 23.6
BB&T
Corp.
BBT 18.9 23 30.1 21.2
Greater
Bay Bancorp.
GBBK 38.4 46.1 55.4 34.5

Please use stops on every trade!