Here’s my JPY entry
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Friday’s FX Observations
The Dollar Index (DXC) is still attempting to bust through some key
resistance at 89.55, a level that has proven to be a real challenge in recent
sessions. The PPI and retail sales data, due out at 5:30 AM PDT will
likely provide some much needed direction.
The chart below illustrates a trade that we legged into last night, although
the trade idea/analysis itself was done around 6 PM PDT. What I believe is
useful about this chart is that it identifies a key resistance level, 114.70 but
also factors in that the current price action is a bit extended – hence a
pull-back is likely.
Under this scenario I chose to break my trade entry into 2 pieces. The
chart below will illustrate this.
As of this morning, 5:23 AM PDT, the trade has begun to play out.
EUR/USD:
Look for the 1.2060 level to contain pull-backs; we still see 1.1985 by
Monday
USD/CHF:
Solid support at 1.2825 with momentum suggesting a move towards 1.2910 by
today/Monday
** the above observations in EUR and CHF were done prior
to the PPI and Retail Sales data
As always, feel free to send me your comments and questions.