It Can Pay To Have A Bias

Keying off the Market Bias Indicators page is giving traders a tremendous edge this morning as stock index futures tank. From last night, we had a “critical mass” of three down-pointing indicators: Connors VIX Reversal II, CHADTP, and a TRIN Thrust. The VIX itself had recently hit a nine-month low of 20.26, a level not seen since prior to the September 2000 plunge.

IBM
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is unleashing to the downside, tallying a loss of 5.16% today to weigh most heavily on the Dow and Dow futures
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, down 212 to 10,300. Another important clue here was the DJU1’s Pullback Off Lows indication, which triggered on the opening.

Currencies are coming back from oversold conditions and rallying out of Turtle Soup Plus One Buy setups. Both the euro FX
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and Swiss franc
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opened at their TS+1 Buy triggers and are rallying, and correspondingly, sending dollar index futures lower.

A weaker dollar is proving beneficial to another market in a TS+1 Buy setup, August gold. Gold is a dollar-denominated metal. When the buck drops in price, we often see a rise in gold as it becomes relatively cheaper.

As stock indexes get hammered, investors are fleeing to the perceived relative safety of bonds, working to send the September T-bond futures
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up half a point, but still in an inside day in a short-term topping pattern.