Meats Beginning To Cook

Marc Dupee will be out of the
office until April 9. In his absence this column is being written by
TradersWire’s Duke Heberlein.

Despite lessening fears of a U.S. outbreak of
foot-and-mouth-disease, the meat complex continues to rally to higher contract
values. A March 30 report released news of dead-hog samples from North Carolina
being sent to a USDA test center, with suspicions being that the animals could
have been infected. This fueled a short, sharp rally before it was determined to
be a false scare, which prompted a sell off in cattle, but not the hogs. All of
the meats picked up gains in today’s session. Pork bellies
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gained 3.00 to 97.350, closing on its high tick. Lean hogs
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also gained more than one dollar per contract, up 1.175 to 65.65. Feeder cattle
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were up .675 to 87.525 and live cattle
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gained
.425 to close at 78.775.

In the softs, cocoa
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, appears
vulnerable after an apparent failure out on an inverted head and shoulders,
dropping 43 to 1030. May cotton
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 hit
another new 15-year low early in the day, staged a rally, then settled on its
intraday low, finishing at 44.73, down .36.
Sugar
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paused in an inside day following Friday’s implosion, gaining .40 to
8.15, and coffee
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continued its downtrend on heavier-than-average volume, dropping .80 to 59.50. Orange juice
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rounded
out the group, down .65 to 74.50.

In the currency markets, dollar index futures
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gave back .13 down to 117.50 on the release of the NAPM March
manufacturing index. The rest of the monies were mixed, with Swiss francs
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gaining .0022 to .5784, and the euro FX futures
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picking up .0070 to end at .8830. Japanese yen
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slid .0021 to
.7987, while the British pound
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lost .0008 to close at 1.4150.
The Canadian dollar
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 continues
to struggle, losing .0003 to trade down to .6343.

May wheat
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rebounded slightly after
Friday’s implosion, gaining 4 to 259. Slow demand for United States exports
continues to drag all of the grains, and keeping traders from buying
aggressively throughout the group. Corn
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was slightly
higher at 208 1/4, up 5. Soybeans
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, found a few buyers today, as
volume spiked higher, gaining 4 1/4 to finish the session at 432 3/4, with soybean
oil

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dropping .09 to 15.86 and soymeal
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rising
3.9 to 150.60.

US debt futures dropped further today, despite the equity
market’s weakness for the majority of the session. T-bonds
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lost ^10 to 103^28 and the 10-year notes
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 dropped the
same to close at 105^28.

April gold
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retreated by 2.3 to 255.60
in precious metals, with copper
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 also
falling .35 to end at 75.50.
Silver
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was
the lone gainer in the group, up 2 at 431.50.

Stock index futures resumed their longer-term downtrends
after rallying off their recent lows. Dow futures
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were
hammered on heavier-than-average volume, losing 187 points to close at 9775
while the Nasdaq 100 futures
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did not fare any better,
dropping 72 to end at 1518. The June S&P futures
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finished
18.20 in the red, closing at 1151 going into the Globex overnight session.

Closing up, the petroleum contracts continued to weaken,
partly on fears that OPEC will not make good on proposals to cut back on
production. Crude
oil

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slid downward by .70 to end the session at 25.59, breaking a
key level of support at $26 per barrel. Heating oil
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fell as
well, down .0299 at .6743. Unleaded gasoline
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lost .0196
to .8980, and Natural gas
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eked out a small gain of .078,
closing at 5.103.