Metals Appear to be in Intermediate Downtrends

Comments for Friday, February 19, 2010

Looking Ahead to Today by Reflecting Back at Thursday’s Price Action


Higher closes Thursday for copper but lower for gold, silver and platinum. All of the metals are still in intermediate downtrends but copper has been in a good retracement rally breaking through resistance this week while closing higher seven out of the last eight trading sessions. This metal is now approaching the last area to take a short position. I didn’t expect the retracement rally to go this far especially settling way above the 300 area basis the March contract. Gold, silver and platinum settled lower with no changes technically. Silver continues to look the weakest of all the metals.

Gold Chart

Silver Chart


CATTLE ON FEED report will be released this afternoon.. Yesterday we saw higher to sharply higher settlements for live and feeder cattle along with lean hogs and pork bellies. The cattle and feeders made new recent highs and closes which is starting be a habit as we approach the monthly cattle on feed report this afternoon. The bull market for the beef shows no end in sight but that day will come as the herds build up. Hogs settled higher again still in a topping mode while now in a resistance area. Bellies settled sharply higher and should continue its uptrend if you ever trust this commodity! I am bullish on Cattle and Feeders but have a Sell Signal for Hogs. Please feel free to contact me for details.

Lean Hog Chart

See the balance of my morning comments, including the Metals, Softs, Energies and Grains, at my website. For my complete coverage, visit my commentary page at

Rick Alexander has been a broker and analyst in the futures business for over thirty years. He is a Vice-President for Sales and Trading at the Zaner Group ( a Chicago-based futures brokerage firm. If you would like a free booklet explaining the charts mentioned above, email Rick at

The information in this Report and the opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation by Rick Alexander or the Zaner Group of the purchase or sale of any futures or options. Futures and options trading is speculative in nature and involves risks. Spread trading is not necessarily less risky than outright positions. Futures and options trading is not suitable for all investors.

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