Monday’s Futures Trading Outlook


The Sept. Triple Witch has come and gone
and has left behind a day filled with choppiness and big volume, and
surprisingly, a positive end of the day. The Dec. S&P 500 was positive at
the outset, but came under pressure throughout the session. SPZ2 made a high at
884.00 before pulling back to close at 841.79, up .10

This morning Texas Instruments
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was downgraded by Solomon Smith Barney, and it looked like this would wear hard
on other tech issues and hurt the Nasdaq 100 futures for Dec.
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. The Nasdaq 100 was able to stay up throughout the day and end
positive at 875.50, up 3.00.

The Treasuries rose along with the choppy equity
trade. the Dec. 10-year note
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rose .10 to end at 114.68. The
Dec. 30-year bond

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closed at 113.06, up 1.81, or 1.63%.

In the chart above, you can see that Dec. corn
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has become
short-term over sold on a technical analysis basis. Today corn broke below the
50-day moving average and the 38% retracement line drawn from this years low to
high. Also the stochastic is falling below the 20% oversold region. Corn could
test the 50% retracement level before moving higher. If it breaks below the 50%
retracement level, we could see corn fall to secondary support at 2.45. Today
Dec. corn closed at $2.60 3/4 a bushel.


Possible
short candidates:



Contract


Setup


Direction


Trigger

Dec. cocoa
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possible turtle soup plus
one sell


Down


break below 2000



Dec. 30-year bond
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possible turtle soup plus one sell


Down



break below 112^00


Sept 10-year note
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possible turtle soup plus one sell

Down




break below 114

Dec. cotton
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Pullback off of the
low

Down


break below
43


Possible long candidates:








Contract


Setup


Direction


Trigger


Dec. wheat
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Pullback from high


Up



break above 4.06


Heating
Oil
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Triangle
at high


Up


break
above .7670


Soybean Meal
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Pullback from high


Up


break above 184

Dec. corn
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Pullback from high


Up



break above 2.80

Nov. frozen orange juice
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Pullback from high



Up



break above 103

Nov. crude oil
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Pullback


from high



Up



break
above 29.50

Dec. gold
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Pullback from high

Up

break above 322.00

Oct. live cattle

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Bullish Flag Pattern

UP

break above 70.20

Oct. feeder cattle

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Saucer Pattern

UP

break up above 81.60

Please note that while there are
strong trends, one bar or a series of bars forming a setup can sometimes
indicate a contra move for the next day. This contra move may not be
long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with the main trend is
always the highest probability trade.

Use stops on all your trades.