Monday’s Options Alerts

What a day!
Despite the huge gap
down from Intel’s lowered revenue revision,
Biogen’s
] lowered guidance, and slower-than-expected employment growth, the major averages came back and finished the
day well off their lows. Things looked grim from the start today as Intel
(
INTC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

announced after the close Thursday that they would lower their second-quarter
revenue due to weak European demand. The semiconductor index was down over 7% at
its worst levels but finished 2.75% lower for the day. Biogen
(
BGEN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
helped
pushed biotechs to a new 52-week low on an intraday basis as the company cut its
second quarter and full year targets, due to sluggish sales of Avonex. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the
market
recap.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up, opened
near its highs and closed near the lows of the day. This shift
in intraday sentiment shows a big decrease in fear. Today’s action triggered CVR
I
and CVR
6
buy signals. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
also gapped up, opened near its
highss
and closed near the lows of the day. This shift in intraday sentiment shows a
decrease in
fear. The VXN triggered a CVR
I and 3
buy signal. The strong reversal today could push the markets higher
next week, but remember we are still in a downtrend.

Points of Significance:

Take Two Interactive
(
TTWO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped over
13% on over four times its average volume. The company reported second-quarter
earnings that beat estimates by 2 cents and raised full year targets to $1.70 or
3 cents above current consensus estimates. However the company gave a revenue
guidance of $100 million while analysts were expecting $145.6 million. The
company is also trading in a failed ascending triangle pattern. Its implied
volatility is also low which could warrant put buying.

Harmony Gold
(
HGMCY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

dropped almost 9% on double its average volume. Gold issues were strong
initially, but ended the day almost 6% lower after the broader market rebounded.
Harmony did fall to an area of support which includes a 50% retracement from its
April 4 low, an uptrendline, and its 50-day moving average.

Broadcom

(
BRCM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 5% on
heavy average volume and came near its October lows. Broadcom as well as
other chip stocks, KLA-Tencor
(
KLAC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
Applied Materials
(
AMAT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, and
Texas Instruments
(
TXN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
could bounce into next week. However, these are
still in downtrends and could be setting up potential shorts.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 26.65 DOWN
0.81
CVR
1, 6 BUY
9.22
% Above
Not
At Extreme
VXN 52.24 UP
2.48
CVR
1,3 BUY
10.33
% Above

At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Take
Two Interactive
TTWO
13.56
1601 307
Harmony
Gold Mining
HGMCY
8.77
1209 347
BEA
Systems
BEAS +
7.95
5697 2466
Semiconductor
HOLDRs
SMH
5.70
15730 6196
Nokia
Corp.
NOK
5.52
57308 2352
Broadcom BRCM
5.34
18309 2995

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Allied
Capital Corp.
ALD 56.8 39.5 44.7 21.5
AmeriCredit ACF 83.5 65.2 96.7 57.7
Telefonos
de chile
CTC 40.5 31.8 37.2 26.1
Perot
Systems
PER 67.1 53.5 39.6 33.3
Financial
Sector SPDRs
XLF 24.9 20 26.2 13.3
Biogen BGEN 49.6 42.4 61.7 35.8

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Dominion
Resources
D 24.5 27.5 28.5 15.4
Dycom
Industries
DY 45.9 51.2 59.5 32.2
Hershey
Foods
HSY 17.1 19 20.7 16.1
Tower
Automotive
TWR 48.6 53.6 61.2 37.4
American
Axle
AXL 45.2 49.7 56.1 36.3
Career
Education Corp.
CECO 41.9 46 55.4 43.4

Please use stops on every trade!