Monday’s Options Alerts

Stocks squeezed out
another gain today
on a day
filled with a mixed bag of earnings. Microsoft
(
MSFT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, PeopleSoft
(
PSFT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, and Biogen
(
BGEN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
reported better-than-expected results and
delivered positive outlooks for their next quarter. However, Siebel Systems
(
SEBL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
Check Point Software
(
CHKP |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, and Ericsson
(
ERICY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
posted worse-than-expected results and had negative outlooks going forward.

At the
close, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained 47.36 points or 0.57%. The S&P
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained
5.18 points or 0.58% and, the Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained 15.47 points or
1.21%. This was the second week in a row that the averages finished in the
green. For the week, the Dow gained 472 points or 6%. The S&P gained 49
points or 5.86%, and the Nasdaq gained 77 points or 6.36%.

Best-performing
sectors today were retail
(
$RLX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up 2.49%, computer technology
(
$XCI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

up 2.09%, telecoms
(
$XTC.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up 1.56%, and healthcare providers
(
$RXH.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

up 1.34%. Worst-performing sectors were Internets
(
$GIN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 1.79%,
gold
(
$XAU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 1.47%, chemicals
(
$CEX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 1.31%.

On the
economic front, August trade deficit jumped 9% and came in at $38.5 billion, or
much higher than estimates of $35.6 billion. Also the CPI for September rose by
an expected 0.2% and the core rate increased by 0.1% or less than the 0.2%
expected gain. We have come a long way since the bottom(?) on October 10, a
pullback or sideways action could be likely.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened in the lower half of its range and closed
slightly under its low. This shift in intraday sentiment shows a drop in fear.
The VIX didn’t trigger any CVRs, but it is getting slightly stretched again. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up, opened near its highs, but closed near
the lows of the day. This shift
in intraday sentiment also shows a drop in fear.

Points of Significance:

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 39.82 DOWN 0.34 NONE 9.37% Below Near Extreme
VXN 55.33 DOWN 0.89 NONE
6.31% Below Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Cree Inc.

CREE
+ 14.80 4105 674
Nucor Corp.
NUE
+ 9.43 1632 275
UT Starcom
UTSI
– 8.24 6231 770
Cabot
Microelectronics

CCMP
+ 6.03 5848 1774
New Century Financial
NCEN
+ 4.20 2065 582
Cerner
CERN
+ 3.88 3664 205

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV

ChoicePoint


CPS
66.9 50.5 40.4 27.8
Wisconsin Energy
WEC
41.7 32.3 35.5 17.1
Unilab
ULAB
54.9 47 76.5 29.1
Allied Capital
ALD
64.7 56.6 84.2 29.1
Yellow
Corp.

YELL
106.3 94.7 88.1 41
Premark Int’l
PMI
55 49.2 56.5 24.8

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV

Harman Int’l


HAR
51.7 62 60.3 29.6
Microsoft
MSFT
46.3 55.3 59.5 63.3
Allergan
AGN
37.1 44.2 50.9 31.6
National Instruments
NATI
61.7 71.3 63.2 35.7
Boyd Gaming
BYD
63.3 71.2 69 45.1
New Century Financial
NCEN
74.1 84.6 95 59.3

Please use stops on every trade!