Monday’s Stock Watch

The major indexes turned in
negative performances for the fourth week in a row,
as the NYSE and
Nasdaq exchanges tallied up a day of distribution apiece. Better-than-expected
employment data were shrugged off in early trading Friday, as price action closed
near the lows for the week.



The path of least resistance remains down, with
ongoing fears and uncertainty of war with Iraq dragging on sentiment. Until this
market can give a positive reaction to any news, the trend will remain down.
Tension in North Korea poses another issue needing resolution.



Market breadth continues along with a slightly
bearish bias. New 52-week Lows are holding a slight edge over the nearly
nonexistent Highs list, while Mark Boucher‘s

Bottom RS and ER List
put in two negative biased days of 20+ readings, with
the
Top
RS and ER List
neutral.



Stocks on ever-shrinking watch lists put in mixed
performances for the week. The markets are absent of any real leadership, while
only a handful of stocks meet our top fundamental and technical criteria. Yet
the search goes on.



From Friday’s action:



Market breadth was negative, with NYSE
declining issues over advancing issues by a ratio of 2.06, and down volume over
up volume by a 3.40 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in
at 1.96, and down volume beat up volume by a 3.97 ratio.




Dow Jones Industrial Average
(
$INDU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

closed
-0.82%
at 7,864.23. The S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

closed
-1.00% at
829.69.
The Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed

-1.47% at
1,282.47.







cellPadding=0 width=”70%” border=1 height=”185″>

































NYSE size=2>NASDAQ
Advancing Issues
1,002

1,095

Declining Issues

2,060

2,087
Advancing Volume
291,258,000

257,796,000
Declining Volume

913,702,000

957,776,000

Total
Volume

1,229,808,000

1,235,674,000
New 52-week
Highs

1

5
New 52-week Lows
75

35

Top sectors:

Fiber Optics, Gold and Silver, Internet, and
Computer Security.

Watch List Action:


International Game Technology
(
IGT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
has now made two consecutive closes
below its 50-day moving average as it continues along a five-session losing
streak. The stock remains in a trading range as downside volume decreases.





Apollo Group
(
APOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
put in an accumulation day Thursday, and is now parked
just above its 50-day moving average. The stock could potentially be forming a
new handle in here, so we’re going to set a new pivot buy at 45.60. Remember
this is not an ideal environment to go long in, and we would need to see volume
increase by 40% through the pivot for a valid trigger.





Recent Breakouts

size=2>

We monitor the action of Recent Breakouts as an indicator of
the market health for IT traders. When breakouts are acting well, this is a good
sign for the likelihood of further sustainable breakouts. When breakouts are
failing, IT traders should be even more cautious.









































color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

52-Week High

Coach Inc.


(
COH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

89

31.17

-1.12

991,100

28.35

35.70

Garmin Ltd.


(
GRMN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

95

28.66

-0.81

489,500

28.66

32.07

International Game Technology


(
IGT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

85

74.84

-1.23

1,121,100

74.84

80.10

Stocks Forming a Handle




















color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

Apollo Group


(
APOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

88

43.48

-0.73

1,955,600

45.60

Stocks Building A Base





















color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name

color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol

color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS

color=#ffffff size=2>Price

color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change

color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume


Pivot

None







Daniel Beighley


href=”mailto:danielb@tradingmarkets.com”>danielb@tradingmarkets.com


If you are new to the “IT” strategy, be sure to
take a look at our

intermediate-term online trading course
.


Intermediate-Term Traders

Report is posted on
Tuesdays and Fridays. For other intermediate-term commentary, be sure to read

Mark Boucher
(Fridays),

Tim Truebenbach
(Tuesdays and Thursdays), and

Gary Kaltbaum
(Mondays and Thursdays).