Mucho Lower

Futures are sharply lower at this
time. DJI futures are down 122 points, S&Ps are 13.5 lower and the Nasdaq
100 futures are 43.00 points lower. This is going to be an awesome day. Why?
Because the market will need to respond to all of the post-close news, and in
doing so, will reveal its nature. We will definitely gain knowledge by the end
of the day. By now you are probably all well aware of what happened after the
close last night. Oracle 
(
ORCL |
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"beat the number" by two
cents ($.14/share) sending the markets sharply higher — for about five minutes.

The market was then tag-teamed with warnings from
(
AMD |
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, Apple
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AAPL |
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and Ciena
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CIEN |
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. The market then proceeded to drop like a rock, leaving us
where we are now. Congratulations to the folks who leaned into the ORCL report.
Being the greedy pig that I am, I decided I would sell QQQs at $29.20, never got
anything off, and now I am holding the bag.

I would also like to congratulate several readers who wrote to tell me that they
managed to buy that SMH spread we were trying to get yesterday. Some managed to
pay $2.00, some paid up to $2.10, I wish I had! (It probably wouldn’t be a bad
idea to take profits this morning.) I am now going to suspend the SMH
recommendations until we see where they go and how they feel.

Volatility

Volatility stayed pretty close to home yesterday. The VIX dropped .27 to 27.33,
the VXN dropped .43 to 54.55, and the QQV lost 1.19 to 45.73.

Trade Updates (6/18/02)

Nothing Done — We missed buying the SMH July 32.5/37.5 put spread at
$2.00 by a whisker, and I am now openly weeping.

New Actions (New Recommendations)

None.

Working Orders (Old Recommendations)


(
CHIR |
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— Sell all CHIR July 50 calls at $1.00 to close.

(
MER |
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— Sell the July 37.5 puts at $3.00.

(
MER |
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(2) — Sell the June/July 40 put calendar spread at $1.50.

(
SEBL |
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— Buy 50% of the SEBL November 15 buy-write at $11.50.

(
SMH |
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— Buy the July 32.5/37.5 put spread (buy the July 37.5 puts, sell the
July 32.5 puts) at $2.00 (25%).

Rolls/Adjustments


(
BAC |
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— Holders of the BAC August 65 puts (long at $1.25, 100%),
buy one BAC August 70 put (to open), sell two BAC August 65 puts (to close), for
$.10 debit (you pay). We actually got a small amount of this done today.


(
DYN |
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— Holders of the DYN January 15 call/June 20 call proxy
buy-write (long the January 15 calls, short the June 20 calls at $3.20),
buy the June 15 calls (to open) and sell the September 17.5 calls (to open)
for $1.00 credit (to you).

(
JNJ |
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— Holders of the JNJ January ’03 60 puts (long at $3.30, 37.5%), buy
the January 50 puts (to open), and sell the January 60 puts (to close) for $5.00
credit (to you).

(
SEBL |
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— For those long the SEBL August 27.5 buy-write: Buy the SEBL
August 27.5 calls (to close) and sell the November 20 calls (to open) for $2.00
credit.

Recap of open trades:

Long-term

Reverse Collars

None.

Buy-writes


(
AMR |
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— Long the August 25 buy-write at $22.00 (50%).


(
AOL |
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— Long the July 22.5 buy-write at
$19.40 (50%).

AOL — Long the October 20 buy-write at $16.30
(25%).


(
HAL |
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— Long the July 17.5 buy-write at
$14.25 (100%).


(
SEBL |
Quote |
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— Long the August 27.5 buy-write at
$23.00 (50%).

Proxy buy-writes


(
DYN |
Quote |
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PowerRating)
— Long the January 15/June 20 proxy buy-write at $3.20 (50%).

Complex Strategies

None.

Directional Positions


(
JNJ |
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PowerRating)
— Long the January 60 puts at $3.30 (37.5%).

(
TGT |
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— Long the January ’03 35 puts at $2.00 (25%).

Short-term

Call Positions


(
CHIR |
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PowerRating)
— Long the July 50 calls at $3.30 (50%).

Call Spread Positions

None.

Put Positions


(
BAC |
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PowerRating)
— Long the August 65 puts at $1.25 (100%).

(
MER |
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(2) — Long the July 37.5 puts at $1.40 (25%).

Spread Positions


(
DJX |
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PowerRating)
— Long the July 90/96 put spread at $2.00 (25%).

(
MER |
Quote |
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PowerRating)
— Long the June/July 40 put calendar at $.50 (50%).

(
MMM |
Quote |
Chart |
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PowerRating)
— Long the October 110/120 put spread at $2.80 (100%).

(
SMH |
Quote |
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PowerRating)
— Long the July/August 32.5 put spread at $.70 (25%).

Stops

None.

  • Options trading involves substantial risk and
    is not suitable for all Investors.
  • Also note that spread strategies involve
    multiple commissions and are not risk-free. Most spreads must be done in a
    margin account.

  • Because of the importance of tax
    considerations to all options transactions, the investor considering options
    should consult with a tax advisor as to how taxes may affect the outcome of
    contemplated options transactions.

  • Supporting documentation for claims,
    comparisons, recommendations, statistics or other technical data will be
    furnished upon request. One or more of the contributors to these
    commentaries may have a position in one or more of the securities mentioned.