Retracement Zone: Here’s What This Corner Is Doing
The SPX
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day at +0.5% to 1191.08 on the lowest NYSE volume (1.36 billion shares) since
the 05/09/05 swing point high of 1178.87 preceding the four-day decline to
1146.18 where this current move started. The volume ratio was 69 and breadth the
lowest of the four days at +817. The 4 MA of the volume ratio is short-term
overbought at 74, as is the 4 MA of breadth at +1195. The
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119.40 intraday high yesterday into the sequence zone outlined in the previous
commentary, which initiated the call strategy also outlined on Thursday.
The other weak part of yesterday’s market action
was that all of the green primary sectors underperformed the SPX, which were the
XBD and RTH, each +0.4%, and the
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-0.5%, were the red sectors. The exception yesterday was energy again, with the
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PowerRating) +2.1% and XLE +1.9%, which once again gave daytraders an excellent
day. One example is the Kings & Queens reversal for the XLE at the 240
EMA with entry above 39.29. Exits were made on the double top reversal (see
chart). There were, of course, other similar individual energy stock reversals
with similar patterns. The good percentage move in the energy stocks, while good
for daytraders, was on below-average volume. The XLE intraday 40 highs the past
two days are right at the 40 – 41 resistance level, so buyers beware.
The
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.50 retracement to the 12/15/04 40.68 high with the .618 retracement at 38.26.
The Nasdaq
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PowerRating) hit a 2043 high with the .618 retracement level at
2077 (see charts).
Today is option expiration Friday, so it is a
controlled “Game” and a good time for daytraders to take only the most defined
setups. On the major indices, being that price is entering a retracement zone,
Trap Door shorts will be taken on early strength and new continuation index
proxy longs will not be taken above yesterday’s high.
Have a good trading day and have a great weekend.
Kevin Haggerty
P.S. I will be
referring to some charts here:
www.thechartstore.com in the future.