Stampede!


Livestock traders bolted for the exit gates, led lower as
April lean hogs
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stampeded to close down 2.000, their daily
limit, at 57.475. Hogs fell despite pre-market reports suggesting prices would
rise on strong packer demand, but gapped down out of their Pullback From Lows
setup and continued lower to limit levels. February pork bellies
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fared better, falling 1.450 to 67.000.

Cattle futures were drawn into the selling. March feeder cattle
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, the leading contract on the Implosion-5 List,
sank in one of its biggest down-bars of the current front-month contract, down
1.250 to 87.725. February live cattle
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lost .825 to
78.225.

There is some speculation that the European mad cow scare
has not yet hit America and livestock futures could be roiled as a result. If
this were to occur, the expectation would be for lower cattle prices as demand
would drop and higher hog prices as consumers used pork as a substitute for
beef.

A fresh round of speculation that the Fed will only cut
interest rates by 25 basis points next week led to a tumble in February federal
funds
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as well as debt futures prices across the yield curve. FFG1
fell .045 to 94.425, implying a reduced, 86% chance of a 50-basis-point move. T-bonds
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closed 19/32 lower at 102 19/32 and

10-year notes

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fell 12/32 to 104 9/32.

Stock index futures drifted lower then pounced higher
after the noon swoon.
Nasdaq 100 futures

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pulled back early, but overcame Texas
Instruments’
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negative news and dragging influence on the
semiconductors to make good on their Momentum-5
List
signal and close 62.00 higher at 2745.00. S&P futures
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climbed 7.50 to 1366.00.

Heating fuels melted as forecasts for warm weather lowered demand expectations. Natural gas
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gapped lower out of its
Pullback From
Lows
setup, traded at opening levels in a narrow range, and then fell .210
to 6.649.


Heating oil
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also
triggered its
Pullback From
Lows
entry, falling over 200 ticks before settling down .0122 at .8269. March crude oil
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fell .23 to 29.57.

Excellent growing conditions in the second largest
growing country, Brazil, led Implosion-5 List
soybean contracts down.
March soybeans
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fell 8 1/2 to 468 1/4 and

soymeal

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closed 3.8 lower at 174.1.

Demonstrating a capacity
to rally back from sell-offs, the leading contract on the
Momentum-5
List
, cocoa
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, erased a 50-point deficit to close down
just 5 and at the psychologically critical 1000 level.

The
Canadian dollar

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fell .0034 to .6621 after the Bank of Canada cut interest rates 25
basis points. Lower interest rates make holding a particular national currency
relatively less attractive than currencies and assets denominated in
higher-yielding currencies. The close is still within yesterday’s range.