The Super Bowl Stock Market Indicator: Will It Be Accurate This Year?
The Super Bowl stock
market indicator states that if a team from the old American Football
League (now the AFC) wins the game, the market is headed South. If a team from
the old National Football League (now the NFC) wins, the market should rally.
There was a 4-year period in which the indicator
was flat out wrong–1998-2001. In 1998 and 1999, the Broncos (AFC) win suggested
a lower market. The 2000 St. Louis Rams (NFC) win predicted an up-market as did
the 2001 Baltimore Ravens’ win. (The Ravens are counted as an NFC team because
they were once the Cleveland Browns, NFL).      Â
In 2002, the Pats (AFC) win correctly predicted
that year’s downturn (the Dow fell over 16%.)
2003 was pretty confusing because Tampa Bay was
an expansion team and therefore can’t be traced to an old AFL or NFL team. In
2004 we had a similar problem, as the Panthers were also an expansion team.
There’s a problem with the Super
Bowl indicator, which is that because of expansion and franchises moving, fewer
Super Bowl games pit former AFL teams against old-line NFL teams.
So what does this mean for Sunday’s game? If the
Pats (old AFL) win, the market is headed
lower. If the Eagles
(old NFL) win, the market rallies. Or so the theory goes. Past performance is
not indicative of future results, etc., and anything else our TradingMarkets
corporate counsel would want me to say.
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Big Cap
Earnings Announcements for the Week of
February 7th
Company |
Symbol |
Date |
| ABN Amro Holdings |
ABN | Monday, Jan 31 |
| Activision | ATVI | Monday, Jan 31 |
| Biogen Idec | BIIB | Monday, Jan 31 |
| Clorox | CLX | Monday, Feb 7 |
| Hasbro | HAS | Monday, Feb 7 |
| Humana | HUM | Monday, Feb 7 |
| Mercury General | MCY | Monday, Feb 7 |
| Rent A Center | RAC | Monday, Feb 7 |
| SINA | SINA | Monday, Feb 7 |
| Wellpoint | WLP | Monday, Feb 7 |
| Arch Coal | ACI | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| Benchmark Electronics |
BHE | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide |
CHRW | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| Cisco Systems | CSCO | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| Cyberronics | CYBX | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| Health Net | HNT | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| Level 3 Communications |
LVLT | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| Taser International |
TASR | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| UTStarcom | UTSI | Tuesday, Feb 8 |
| Adolph Coors | RKY | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| Applebee’s International |
APPB | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| Argosy Gaming | AGY | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| Boyd Gaming | BYD | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| Garmin | GRMN | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| LifePoint Hospitals |
LPNT | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| Lions Gate Entertainment |
LGF | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| MetLife | MET | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| RARE Hospitality | RARE | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| Stericycle | SRCL | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| WebEx Communications |
WEBX | Wednesday, Feb 9 |
| Accredited Home Lenders |
LEND | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Aetna | AET | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Analog Devices | ADI | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| CenterPoint Energy |
CNP | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Coinstar | CSTR | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Dell | DELL | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| GlaxoSmithKline | GSK | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Loews Corp. | LTR | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Novatel Wireless | NVTL | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Sharper Image | SHRP | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Waste Management | WMI | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| XM Satellite Radio |
XMSR | Thursday, Feb 10 |
| Veco Instruments | VECO | Friday, Feb 11 |
Scheduled Stock Splits for the Week of
February 7th
Company |
Symbol |
Ratio |
Payable |
Ex-Date |
| Tarragon Realty Investors | TARR | 3-2 | Feb 10 | Feb 11 |
| Bio-Logic Systems | BLSC | 3-2 | Feb 11 | Feb 14 |
Need more splits information? Click
here.
Upcoming Economic Events for the Week of
February 7th
| Date | ET | Release | For | Consensus | Prior |
| Feb 7 | 3:00 pm | Consumer Credit | Dec. | $6.8B | -$8.7B |
| Jan 31 | 10:00 am |
Wholesale Inventories | Dec. | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Jan 31 | 8:30 am | Trade Balance | Dec. | $57.3B | -$60.3 |
| Jan 31 | 8:30 am | Initial Jobless Claims | 02/05 | NA | 316K |
| Feb 1 | 2:00 pm | Treasury Budget | Jan. | $5.1B | -$1.4B |
Brice
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