Thursday’s Futures Setups

OPEC is expected to
announce

a production
increase of at least 1 million bbl./day when they convene Sunday in an emergency
meeting. The Department of Energy said they expect spot oil to stay above $30
for the first half of 2003. 

Long
Candidates:



Contract

Setup

Direction

Trigger

Bonds

(
USH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
continuation up above
Wednesday’s high
Notes

(
TYH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

continuation
up above
Wednesday’s high
Euro
(ECH3)
wide
range bar
up

above
Wednesday’s high

Bonds (USH3)
and Notes (TYH3)
triggered and probably have another day or so to the upside. The Euro
(
ECH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
made a wide-range bar, and also look higher.


Short
Candidates:



Contract

Setup

Direction

Trigger

Coffee

(
KCH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
weak
close/trendline
down below
Wednesday’s lows
E-Minis

(
ESH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
continuation down rallies
to 915, then 921

The Minis
(
ESH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
look like they’ll continue down
from here. Today was the start of earnings season, with Alcoa
(
AA |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
missing by
.09. 

Coffee
(
KCH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
looks like it may pull back here.

Please
note that while there are strong trends, one bar or a series of bars forming a
setup can sometimes indicate a contra move for the next day. This contra move
may not be long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with the main
trend is always the highest probability trade.

Remember,
use stops on all your trades.

Brice