Thursday’s Options Alerts

After the
turnaround yesterday,
the
markets showed no follow thorough and once again dug deeper into multi-year
lows. Downgrades and earnings cuts on blue-chip giants General Electric
(
GE |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
Johnson & Johnson
(
JNJ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, General Motors
(
GM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, and Merrill Lynch
(
MER |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

kept the Dow and S&P down. The Nasdaq fared better for most of the session,
thanks to a rebound in Cisco Systems and chip stocks, but it wasn’t to be, as
the Naz also succumbed to the selling.

At the close, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped
215.22 points or 2.86%. The index is approaching its 100% projection of the
prior down leg from early July at 7199. The S&P
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 21.78
points or 2.72%, the index got within a hair of its July 24 low at 775.68.
Finally, the Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
fell 15.06 points or 1.33%.

Internets
(
$INX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up 0.93% and software
(
$GSO.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
were among the
only sectors in the green today. Airlines
(
$XAL.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 9.18, utilities
(
$UTY.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 9.14%, paper [$FPP.X|%FPP.X] down 5.50%, banks [$BKX.X$BKX.X]
down 4.29%, and retail
(
$RLX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 4.25% were the weakest sectors
today. The inability of the retailers to show some kind of follow through after
yesterday’s end to the West Coast port lockout was definitely negative.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up, opened near its highs, and closed slightly
above its open. This shift in intraday sentiment shows a rise in fear.
Today’s action triggered once again triggered
CVR
3 and 6 buy signals.
The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

gapped up, opened on its highs and closed near the midpoint of its range. This
shift in intraday sentiment shows a drop in fear. Fear is rising and
capitulation could be near.

Points of Significance:


Volatility Index

Close

Net Change

Signals/Direction

% Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average

Significance

VIX
49.48 UP 3.02
CVR 3 & 6 Buy
10.42% Above At Extreme

VXN
62.38 UP 1.22
NONE
4.84% Above
Not At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With
Price Movement
— Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with
stock price movement


Name

Symbol

Net % Change

Volume

Avg. Volume
American
Electric Power

AEP
– 22.78 5591 989
Household International
HI
– 10.94 8621 1760
Sears
S
– 10.48 12639 5326
Affiliated Computer Services
ACS
– 8.80 12866 1069
Harrah’s
Entertainment

HET
– 8.21 1422 503
Southern Co.
SO
– 7.05 10258 1591

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in
Implied Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases
or decreases in implied volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up


Name

Symbol

IV

Previous IV

High IV

Low IV

Harmon Industries


HAR
68.1 49.2 52.1 29.6
First Energy
FE
60.3 44.6 42.8 20.7
Worthington
Industries

WOR
53.3 40.3 41.3 29.7
Kroll
KROL
100.2 76.4 69 40.7
Consoliated
Edision

ED
33.2 25.6 31.2 14.8
Detroit
Edision

DTE
40.2 31.7 33.8 16.8
H&R Block
HRB
73.9 59.4 62.2 32
Cinergy
CIN
48.4 39.3 59.1 16.5
MBIA
MBI
62.4 51.6 49.1 24.2
Harrah’s
Entertainment

HET
47.1 39.2 47.6 27.5

Spike Down


Name

Symbol

IV

Previous IV

High IV

Low IV

Fossil


FOSL
64.5 118 60.5 36.8

Please use stops on every trade!