Thursday’s Options Alerts

Stocks fell on this first day of spring as negative news on Intel
(
INTC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and
Bristol-Myers Squibb
(
BMY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
led a broad-based decline.

Despite a higher semiconductor book-to-bill ratio, chip
stocks were among the biggest losers after some cautious comments about Intel.
Drug stocks also weighed heavily on the market as Bristol-Myers Squibb dropped 15%. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the market
recap
.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

opened near its high and closed near the midpoint of its range. This shift in
intraday sentiment again suggests that fear is dropping somewhat. Today’s action
trigged a CVR
II and VI sell
signals. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened
near the midpoint of its range and closed in the lower third of its range. This shift in intraday sentiment also
suggests that fear is dropping. The VXN triggered a CVR II sell signal. Despite
today’s selloff, there just doesn’t seem to be any fear in this market. This of
course shows complacency, therefore we will continue to wave a red flag.

Points of Significance:

Software maker Stellent
(
STEL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

dropped over 24% on over seven times its average volume. The shares came under
pressure today after a downgrade from Thomas Wiesel that was based on revenue
and accounting worries. The shares gapped below support and are at an all-time
low. However, there is heavy activity in the April and May 15 calls.

After a delayed opening, drug maker
Bristol Myer Squibb
(
BMY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 15% on seven times its average volume. The
shares were hammered after the company reported disappointing results for its
heart failure drug Vanlev. Today’s news sent the stock to a four-year low. On
the weekly chart, BMY is breaking down from a head and shoulders top after a
test of its neckline.  

Scios
(
SCIO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
jumped 6% on double
its average volume. The shares had a nice key reversal day and showed good
relative strength despite the weakness in the biotechs and the overall market.
There is heavy activity in the May 25 calls and August 30 calls.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 20.70 UP
0.35
CVR
II, VI SELL
3.45% Below Not
at Extreme
VXN 38.11 DOWN
0.88
CVR
II SELL
7.52
% Below
Not
at Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Stellent  STEL
24.31
3295 260
Bristol
Myers Squibb
BMY
15.56
45155 9739
SmartForce SMTF
8.69
1687 222
Airborne
Freight
ABF
7.31
3001 424
Scios SCIO +
6.21
1921 286
Crown
Cork & Seal
CCK +
6.75
5776 747

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Stellent  STEL 110.4 85.6 101.4 74
Deluxe
Corp.
DLX 28.7 23.8 28.8 23.6
General
Electric
GE 32.2 27.5 48 28.7
Miller
Herman
MLHR 40.2 34.8 45.5 30.4
Dial
Corp.
DL 30.1 26.4 41.7 31.5
Citigroup C 25.6 23.4 42.1 27.5

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Petroleo
Brasileiro
PBR 38.9 49.8 45.1 37.2
Americredit ACF 64.8 78.4 104 74.4
New
Plan Excel Realty
NXL 18 21.6 36.8 19.5
Gap
Inc.
GPS 42.1 20.1 70 51.8
Dycom
Industries
DY 39.3 45.3 70.5 45.6
Hanover
Compressor
HC 63.2 71.6 108.8 52.2

Please use stops on every trade!