Thursday’s Options Alerts

Stocks lingered for
the majority of the session

after the much weaker-than-expected GDP numbers. However, a final-hour rally
pushed the Dow and S&P 500 in the green. At
the close, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained 56.56 points or 0.65%, the S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained 8.85 points or just under 1%. The Nasdaq on the other
hand dropped 16 points or 1.19 %, thanks to KLA-Tencor
(
KLAC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and the
semiconductors
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
.

Both the Dow and the S&P were able to
shrug off some negative economic data. First, second quarter GDP numbers showed
that the economy grew at a 1.1%, while economists had been expecting 2.4%. Also
the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index fell to a reading of 51.5% from June’s
reading of 58.2% vs.  56.4% expected by economists. Lastly, past GDP
estimates were also downwardly revised.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped
up, opened near
its highs, and closed near the bottom of its range. This shift
in intraday sentiment again shows a decrease in fear. Today we have another CVR
3 sell signal. Don’t overstay your welcome on the long side as complacency is
setting back in.

The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
also gapped up, opened near its lows,
and closed slightly above its open. This shift
in intraday sentiment shows an increase in fear. The VXN triggered a CVR 2
sell signal today.

Points of Significance:

Veritas
(
VTS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
shot up over 36% on more than four times its average
volume, on news that it terminated its merger agreement with
Petroleum Geo-Services. The shares gapped above a short-term downtrend line, but
it has resistance from 12.50 to 13.19. Implied volatility is still high, but is
coming down. A vertical or ratio spread would be a better way to play, rather than an
outright position.

Neurocrine Biosciences
(
NBIX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained 6.9% on almost double its average
volume. One day after the company reported lower-than-expected second-quarter results and
lowered guidance, the shares busted out of a low-level cup and handle.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 35.21 UP 0.06
CVR
3 SELL
15.48
%
Below
At Extreme
VXN 57.86 UP 1.40 CVR
2 SELL
9.10% Below Near
Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Veritas
VTS
+ 36.88 445 131
NVIDIA
NVDA
– 31.75 19757 79.2
Hot Topic
HOTT
– 30.46 533 259
Sangsat Medical
SANG
– 21.85 948 104
Chico’s FAS
CHS
– 10.79 1409 568
Neurocrine Biosciences
NBIX
+ 6.90 588 199

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Chico’s FAS
CHS
70.7 48.3 74 39.1
Urban Outfitters
URBN
85.1 59.6 61.7 47.7
Luxottica Group
LUX
48.8 34.3 42.2 23.5
NCO Group
NCOG
69.2 55.7 81.6 41.9
Sangstat Medical
SANG
77.3 62.8 73.3 54.9
Goodrich B. F.
GR
60.5 50 51.1 33.1

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Jack in the Box
JBX
33.5 42.3 42.5 23.7
Profit Recovery Group
PRGX
85.1 106.6 76.3 42.4
TCF Financial
TCB
26.7 33.2 35.4 19.1
Laboratory Corp.
LH
63.9 78.6 78.4 24.2
Constellation Energy
CEG
45 53.8 58.1 25.3
Webster Financial
WBST
27 32.1 29.1 19.9

Please use stops on every trade!