Trap Door And Volatility Band Trades Give Traders Big Bonus
Kevin Haggerty is the former head of trading for
Fidelity Capital Markets. His column is intended for more advanced traders. If
you would like to learn how Kevin trades,
you can find more information here.
With the strong pre-9:30 a.m. ET futures
yesterday and anticipated premium opening (“The Game”), daytraders
were ready
for Trap Door and volatility band short entries (see 08/10/05 commentary) as
the
first action of the day. That is precisely what you got, and if you trade
the
SPX
(
SPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating), it was good for +14 to +15 points on half or all of the
trade,
depending on how you managed it. If you traded the
(
SPY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) it was good for
1.4
– 1.5 points. There were two Trap Door entries for the SPY/futures. The
first
was below SPY 124.22 (10:05 a.m. bar) which went to 122.08, then reversed up
to
the intraday high of 124.50 on the 10:50 a.m. bar. This was a small loss or
scratched trade. The second entry was on the very next bar below 124.38
which
declined to the 122.83 intraday low before closing at 123.37. There was more
sequence
as 124.42 was the +1.5 volatility band and 124.48 was the 2.24 Fib extension
of
the last leg down on Tuesday from 123.59 to 122.87. There were similar short
entries for the Dow (DIA/futures) and probably easier, as the Dow reversed
from
a 10,719 intraday high, right at the high (10,718) of the previous 16-day
range
from 10,718 – 10.573 which it had broken out of on the downside last Friday
(08/05) which was the Fib time date. Net net, it was simply an excellent day
for
“sequence traders” from the short side of the extended early
emotion.
Astute traders got a helping hand if they
noticed
that just before the SPX reversed from its intraday high of 1242.69 (10:50
a.m.
bar) that the
(
TLT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) reversed down from a 92.10 high at the same time and
the
(
OIH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) reversed up from the 10:35 a.m. intraday low of 115.73, advancing
to
an intraday high of 118.45. This was accompanied by a big move in crude oil
to
4:00 p.m. which was +4.7% to 66.06. Also, the $HUI, +2.1%, and XAU, +1.4%,
opened strong and remained that way into the close. Actual gold closed at
434.60, -0.7%. The US Dollar ($US) made a new low in this current trend to
87.65, -0.2%. However, even if you did not observe this related inter-market
action, you still took the Trap Doors just based on the actual strategy
definitions by itself bolstered by sequence confluence.
NYSE volume expanded to 1.67 billion shares
and
because of the early advance, despite the major indices closing red, the
volume
ratio was 54 and breadth +533. It doesn’t take much volume on an air pocket
down
when the Generals disappear on the buy side. The Dow finished at 10,594,
-0.2%,
the
(
QQQQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) -0.9% to 39.11 and Nasdaq
(
COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) -0.8% to 2158. The
OIH,
+1.8%, led the green sectors, and technology the downside with the XLK -1.1%
and
QQQQ -0.9%.
This is being recorded Wednesday night for
Thursday.
Have a good trading day,
Kevin Haggerty