Tuesday’s Options Alerts

Another round
of negative corporate and economic news
again took stocks down. The
averages started off the week on the downside as news of JDS Uniphase’s first-quarter revenue warning, Peregrine Systems’
(
PRGN |
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PowerRating)

Chapter 11 bankruptcy,
more accounting woes from Qwest communications, and weak sales forecasts from WalMart
(
WMT |
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and Federated Stores
(
FD |
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PowerRating)

proved too much for the market to
bear.

The indices did try an early afternoon rally, but that soon faded away. However,
a late session pop did leave the averages off their intraday lows. At the
close, the Dow
(
$INDU |
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PowerRating)
dropped 113.87 points or 1.42%, the index closing above its 78.6 retracement level. The S&P
(
$SPX.X |
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PowerRating)
fell
11.69 points or 1.38%. The Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
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PowerRating)
was the weakest of all as it dropped 36.15 points or
2.96%. The Naz also took out its July 24 low. Its next stop could be the 1.27
extension at 1128.68.

Sector-wise, anything tech got hammered today with semiconductors
(
$SOX.X |
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down 5.09%, biotechs
(
$BTK.X |
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down 4.03%,
airlines
(
$XAU.X |
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down 4.02%, AND software
(
$GSO.X |
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down 3.87%.
The only sectors in the green today were banks
(
$BIX.X |
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PowerRating)
up 0.43% and oil
service issues
(
$OSX.X |
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PowerRating)
up 0.34%. On the economic front, the index of
leading economic indicators fell for the third straight month as the index
dropped 0.2% in August. Economists were predicting for a drop of 0.1%. Tomorrow
we have the FOMC meeting where Greenspan will decide on the direction of
interest rates.

Not much of a change in volatility today with the VIX
(
$VIX.X |
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PowerRating)
opening
near its midpoint and closing slightly below its open. This shift in intraday sentiment
shows a drop in fear. Today’s action triggered a CVR
6
buy signal.
The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

opened near its lows and closed near near the highs of the day. This shift in
intraday sentiment shows a rise in fear. No signals were triggered by the VXN.

Points of Significance:

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 44.71 UP 0.16
CVR
6 BUY
8.28% Above Near Extreme
VXN 59.85 UP 0.77 NONE 3.44 % Above Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Nucor
NUE
-19.21 682 103
Overture
OVER
– 11.02 3105 788
Zion Bancorp
ZION
– 5.75 688 153
Laboratory
Corp.

LH
– 5.05 4519 207
KLA Tencor
KLAC
– 5.38 74773 9490
Comcast
CMCSK
– 4.33 47678 3454

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
AT&T Canada
ATTC
13 9.1 36.4 9.2
Constellation Brands
STZ
48.1 37 44.8 25.6
Ryder Systems
R
46.7 36.7 38.6 30.1
Certegy
CEY
54.6 44.1 54 26.1
Brunswick
BC
56.8 46 50.7 31.2
Zion Bancorp
ZION
41.6 34.3 35.5 19.7

Spike Down

None Today

Please use stops on every trade!