Tuesday’s Options Alerts

The markets started the week off on a
negative note as the resignation of Tyco’s
(
TYC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
CEO, the suicide of El
Paso’s
(
EP |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
treasurer, and some lukewarm comments about the software and brokerage
sectors put investors in a selling mood. The release of the May ISM numbers did
initially spark the markets, but quickly evaporated. The May ISM number came
in at almost a two-year high, jumping to 55.7% from April’s 53.9%. 

The Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gave up 2.2% today, breaking its 9800 support level, and is now at a
four-month low. Other major indices such as as the S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

dropped over 2.5% today and fell to a nine-month low. The Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was the weakest
today, giving up over 3.3%, thanks in part to the software and
semiconductors. The only sector in the green today was gold
(
$XAU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
. Other
than that, the only positive thing today was that the decline was on below-average volume. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the
market
recap.

Fear shot up today as the VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened
near its low and closed right on its highs. The was the biggest range in well
over a month. This shift
in intraday sentiment shows a big increase in fear. A CVR 3 buy signal was triggered
today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened near its lows and closed near the highs of
its range. This shift also shows an increase in
fear. No CVR signals were triggered by the VXN. Fear did die down today
on the back of the economic reports, however the markets gave back the
lion’s share of the day’s gain to close near the lows of the day. Fear is
back in a big way today as today’s news has put more uncertainties in the
market. With selling intensifying towards the end of the session, we
could see more selling at least in the open.

Points of Significance:

Alpharma
(
ALO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
fell over 13% on
more than triple average volume. The company was hit with two pieces of news
today. First, The United States District Court for the District of New Jersey
has dismissed a class action lawsuit alleging improper revenue recognition.
Second, the company is under SEC investigation related to its revenue
recognition practices in connection with previously reported results in 2001.
There is somewhat heavy activity in the July and September 20 calls.

Xilinx
(
XLNX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 12% on
triple its average volume and was the biggest loser in the semiconductor index
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
. The shares came under heavy pressure after the company provided
a disappointing forecast. There is heavy activity in the July 25 puts.

Ticketmaster
(
TMCS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

gained over 2.5% on over four times its average volume. The stock is trading
in a head-and-shoulders top with the neckline at around 21.25. Its implied
volatility is somewhat low, which could be a good time to use put
options.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 25.70 UP
2.90
CVR
3 SELL
14.58
% Above
At Extreme
VXN 47.65 UP
1.70
NONE 6.05
% Above
Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Tyco
Int’l
TYC
26.87
224093 14618
Alpharma
Inc.
ALO
13.31
1600 246
Xilinx XLNX
12.05
13021 4348
NPS
Pharmaceuticals
NPSP
11.68
1231 290
Enzon ENZN
8.80
1785 470
Harrah’s
Entertainment
HET
7.70
2473 776

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
El
Paso Corp.
EP 86.2 54.8 63.9 31.2
Tyco
International
TYC 113.7 78.8 109.3 30.8
Williams
Companies
WMB 95.8 69.3 94.7 36.4
MidCap
SPDRs
MDY 21.1 15.3 22.9 16.2
FPL
Group.
FPL 27.9 22.6 24.3 17.6
NPS
Pharmaceuticals
NPSP 117.2 98.3 102.3 51.7

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Financial
Sector SPDRs
XLF 14.9 22.3 26.2 13.6
TicketMaster TMCS 48.1 62.1 67.4 52
Expedia EXPE 41.7 52.4 88.5 44.7
Hotels.com ROOM 48.4 59.5 75 53.1
Protective
Life Corp.
PL 17.4 20.2 32.4 19.1
Duke
Weeks Realty
DRE 19.2 21.9 24.3 17.7

Please use stops on every trade!