Tuesday’s Options Alerts

Stocks started off
the week on a negative note a
s the major averages dug deeper into multi-year
lows. Despite an attempt to
rally, stocks were held back as an earnings warning from Sears
(
S |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, the
ongoing port lockout, J.P. Morgan’s
(
JPM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
layoffs, negative comments on
Cisco Systems
(
CSCO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, and tonight’s upcoming speech from President Bush
kept buyers at bay. 

For most of the session stocks were mainly flat, but
a late-afternoon sell-off has the indices closing near the lows of the day. At the
close, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 105.42 points or 1.40%. The S&P
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
fell
15.36 points or 1.91%, and the Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 20.07 points or
1.76%. Broker/dealers
(
$XBD.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 4.55%, paper
(
$FPP.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down
4.5%, retail
(
$RLX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 4.43%, and banks
(
$BIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
were the
hardest hit. Only biotechs
(
$BTK.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up 0.61% and health providers
(
$RXH.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

up 0.17% were positive today.

Volatility shot to a two-month high today. The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped down, opened near its lows, and closed near the
highs of the day. This shift in intraday sentiment shows a rise in fear.
Today’s action triggered a CVR
3 and 6 buy signals. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up, opened near the
highs of its range and closed near its highs. This shift
in intraday sentiment also shows a rise in fear. Today’s action shows fear
rising to extreme levels. We could be near a much-needed bounce.

Points of Significance:

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 49.18
UP 2.90
CVR
3 & 6 Buy

11.95% Above
At Extreme

VXN 62.32
2.04
CVR
I Buy

6.05% Above
Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Accredo Health
ACDO

– 12.30
2125
291
Sigma
Aldrich
SIAL

– 10.12
1187
324
Sharper Image
SHRP

– 9.87
1123
125
GATX Corp.
GMT

– 9.41
1383
255
Cognizant Technology
CTSH

– 7.26
1748
376
Federated
Department Stores
FD

– 5.78
7372
2852

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV

Texas Utilities

TXU

82.3
59.9
61.6
17.3
Sigma Aldrich
SIAL

59.5
49.4
46
27.6
Hot Topic
HOTT

75.4
63.1
76.6
40.6
Kroll
KROL

72.1
61.2
69
40.7
Cost Plus
CPWM

68.5
588
55.2
41.3
Lowe’s
LOW

61.7
53
60.2
25.1
Accredo Health
ACDO

67.4
58.3
72
44.3
Ann Taylor
ANN

72.7
63
63.7
40.2
Coach Inc.
COH

84.7
74.3
77.1
40.6
Sears
S

67.1
58.9
59
27.9

Spike Down

None Today

Please use stops on every trade!