Wednesday’s Futures Setups

The Sept. 30 year bond
(USU2)
and the Sept. 10-year treasury note
(
TYU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
both shot up
to 20-day highs, on the heels of the much-expected announcement that the Federal
Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged. The 30-year bond broke out above
the 110 level and closed at 110.25, up .93. The 10-year note cleared the 113
level to close at 113.31, up.62.

According to the Federal Reserve, the slow growth
in the U.S. economy has been caused primarily by weakness in the financial
markets and increased uncertainty related to problems in corporate reporting and
governance. Since March, the central bank has said the risks were balanced but
has now shifted its policy statement to say that economic weakness is a greater
risk to the economy than inflation, leaving the door open for future cuts.

 



The Sept. S&P 500
(
SPU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was close to
breaking through a recovery high at around the 911.00 level. It looked that way
for a while, but after the Fed report, the S&P retreated to the support level of
907 to 902. From there it weakened at the last hour and fell further to 885.29,
a loss of 17 or 1.88% on the day.

The Sept. Nasdaq
(
NDU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
initially
started out very strong and seemed to have the potential to close positive after
trading in the positive zone and hitting the intraday high at 962. Then, like
the other markets, the Nasdaq sold off in the last hour of trade. The Nasdaq 100
futures closed at 912 down 31.50 or 3.34%.

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Market Bias Indicators


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Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Sell Setup.





Contract



Setup



Direction



Trigger

Sept wheat
(
WU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Sell Setup


Down
break below 3.36
Sept 30-yr bond
(
USU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Sell Setup


Down
break below 108
Sept 10-yr note
(
TYU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Sell Setup


Down
break below 112

Possible Turtle Soup Plus One
Buy Setup




Contract


Setup



Direction



Trigger

Aug pork bellies
(
PBQ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
Possible Turtle Soup Plus one Buy Setup UP break above 65
Sept coffee
(
KCU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Possible Turtle Soup Plus one Buy Setup

UP
break above 48.00
Sept silver
(
SIU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Possible Turtle Soup Plus one Buy Setup


UP
break above 4.70

Pullback From The High







Contract



Setup



Direction



Trigger


Sept cocoa
(
CCU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
Pullback
from the high
UP
break above 18.35


Sept frozen orange juice
(
JOU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Pullback from the high

UP


break above 101


Aug bean oil
(
BOQ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Pullback from the high

UP

break above 20.00

Dec cotton
(
CTZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

Pullback from the high
UP
break above 49

Please note that
while there are strong trends in some commodities, one bar or a series of bars
forming a setup can sometimes indicate a contra move for the next day. This
contra move may not be long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading
with the main trend is always the highest probability trade.

Use stops on all your
trades.

 

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