Wednesday’s Options Alerts

The major indices
got off to a good start following the blow-out July durable goods numbers.
However,
the tides quickly shifted after the release of the consumer confidence numbers.
The indices had drifted lower all day, but ended the day slightly off their
lows.

At the close, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 94.60 points or 1.06% to close below a trendline
drawn from the July 24 low. The S&P
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
fell 13.12 points or 1.38%,

approaching potential support near its 50-day moving average and
its upward trendline. The Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and tech stocks were the
hardest hit today as it dropped almost 44 points or 3.15%.

Techs sold off hard
after Intel
(
INTC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
chairman had some less-than-lukewarm comments about the
PC environment. Although volume was lighter than usual, it did pick up today.
The July durable goods jumped 8.7%, easily topping the 1.4% expected increase.
But consumer confidence for August came in at 93.5, well below July’s reading of
97.4. This was the lowest reading of the year. Today’s sell off was broad based,
but tech issues took the biggest beatings. Semis
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 5.91%,
biotechs
(
$BTK.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 4.98%, and Internets
(
$DOT.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 4.57%.
Gold
(
$XAU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up 3.03%, oil
(
$XOI.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up 0.44%, and defense
(
$DFI.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

up 0.33% were the only sectors in the green today.

After spending some time away from it, it appears that volatility is reverting to its mean. The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
opened near
its lows and closed near the highs of the day. This shift in intraday sentiment
again suggest a rise in fear. No CVRs were triggered today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

opened near the lows of the day, and just above its midpoint. This shift
in intraday sentiment also shows a rise in fear. The VXN didn’t trigger any CVRs
either. If you picked up puts recently, they will benefit from rising
volatility and the drop in prices.

Points of Significance:

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 32.73 UP 0.44 NONE
0.001 %
Above
Not At Extreme
VXN 50.01 UP 1.59 NONE 2.69 % Above Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Myraid Genetics
MYGN
– 11.11 947 186
Mercury Interactive
MERQ
– 6.89 3413 1376
Agilent Technologies
A
– 5.49 5086 1101
Harris
HRS
– 3.33 1850 163
Astrazeneca
AZN
– 3.33 32197 2496
Northrop Grumman
NOC
+ 3.21 8068 3227

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Coinstar
CSTR
65.5 53.3 72.1 42.8
Chico’s FAS
CHS
63.4 52.9 80.5 39.1
Rehabcare Group
RHB
53.6 45.7 64.2 47.9
Apollo Group
APOL
52.9 45.7 58.3 33
Talbots
TLB
51.3 45.9 55.4 35.1
Gilead Sciences
GILD
59.3 53.6 87.8 51.1

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Golden State Bancorp
GSB
8.7 15.2 35.1 18.4
Kinder Morgan
KMR
25.6 35.7 47.9 25.8
TRW Inc.
TRW
22.6 26.7 42.6 14.6
Brookline Bankcorp
BRKL
20.8 24.3 36.3 22.8
Cooper Industries
CBE
41.8 46.8 58.3 32.8
Occidental Petroleum
OXY
25.2 27.4 36.2 21.1

Please use stops on every trade!