Wednesday’s Options Alerts

Stocks sank today as the biggest drop in consumer
confidence in over seven years scared investors about the future of the economy.
Earnings warnings  from Openwave Systems
(
OPWV |
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, CVS
(
CVS |
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,
McDonalds
(
MCD |
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as well as more terrorist warnings helped to add fuel to the
fire. Today’s action had the VIX
(
$VIX.X |
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gapping up above its 10-day
moving average. The VIX opened near the bottom of its range and closed in the
lower half of its range. Today’s economic and corporate news did put more fear
back into the market, but fear has subsided somewhat intraday. No CVR signals
were triggered today for the VIX. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
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PowerRating)
exhibited similar
behavior as it opened near today’s low and closed in the lower half of the
range. Despite the gap up in the VXN this morning, fear has subsided intraday.
Just like the VIX, no CVR signals were triggered today.

Points of Significance:

Tanox Inc.
(
TNOX |
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failed an ascending
triangle pattern. The stock broke below its 20- and 50-day moving averages, but
managed to close above its 50-day moving average. Tanox is also near its .618
retracement level at 15.95.  Option volume was heavy today as it traded
over five times its average daily contract volume.  Enron
(
ENE |
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PowerRating)

continued its descent on over six times its average daily volume today. Option
volume was over four times average. Enron’s implied volatility is once again at
a new high. This suggest that its options are getting expensive. Praxair
(
PX |
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PowerRating)

is pulling back from recent highs. Implied volatility is also approaching the
high side. United Stationers
(
USTR |
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broke above its 20-day moving average
and close right on its 200-day moving average for day. Its implied volatility is
at a new high. Qualcomm
(
QCOM |
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is approaching potential support at its
20-day moving average and its .50 retracement level from its October lows.  

 

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 35.15 UP 2.76 NONE 3.69 % Above Not At Extreme
VXN 63.41 UP 3.12 NONE 0.55 %
Under
Not At
Extreme

 

Abnormal Options Volume With Price
Movement
– Abnormal options volume (calls and puts)
with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
CVS CVS – 23 1529 408
Enron ENE
19.18
90418 22136
CSG
Systems
CSGS
18.97
319 105
Tanox 
Inc.
TNOX
15.81
1040 183
Corixa Corp CRXA – 14.41 1567 220
Pacificare
Health Systems
PHSY
14.08
999 426

 

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
– Stocks with biggest increases or
decreases in implied volatility compared to previous day.

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Enron ENE 140.6 112.4 102.9 38.5
Macrovision Corp. MVSN 102.2 87.2 106.8 57.2
Praxair PX 43.6 37.4 43.7 27.3
Exxon Mobil XOM 29.8 25.6 36.2 20.4
Serono SA SRA 47.7 41.6 52.7 34.9
Qualcomm QCOM 78.5 68.7 96.1 54.7

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Telefonos de Chile CTC 33.3 41.8 50.4 26.2
Manulife Financial
Corp
MFC 34.8 42.1 40.9 21.4
Cali Realty CLI 183 21.4 28.8 18.8
United Stationers USTR 33.4 39 51.8 32.2
Newport News Shipbldg. NNS 19.9 23.2 42.2 14.6
Dial Corp. DL 44.6 39.3 55.1 28.9

Please use stops on every trade!