Wednesday’s Stock Watch


Volume was exceptionally
light for the week, as trading went into pre-holiday mode.
Friday’s
session wraps up the first positive month in five for the S&P 500, while the Dow
continues along its five-month decline, and the Nasdaq its seven-month slide.
For the past month, the NYSE has made four accumulation days, and three
distribution days, while the Nasdaq has made five accumulation days and two
distribution days. Next Tuesday traders are looking forward to volume coming
back to normal as the fall season comes in and a clearer picture of sentiment
is defined.



Leadership of late has been in gold stocks, while
airlines, semiconductors and biotechnology are exhibiting the weakness. New
52-week highs and lows have been posting low numbers in recent sessions, and

Mark Boucher
‘s
Top
RS and ER List
and

Bottom RS and ER List
lean slightly bearish.



This report had one breakout for the week with many
stocks still setup in bullish handle patterns. Technically, we have the
accumulation days put in to believe we may see a run to the upside, but the fact
remains we’re still in a bear market. Until we see breakouts succeeding, there
is no reason to jump in and test the situation. Patience can do wonders as far
as preserving capital.



From Tuesday’s action:



Market breadth was mixed, with NYSE
advancing issues over declining issues by a ratio of 1.38, and up-volume over
down-volume by a 1.05 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in
at 1.25, and down-volume beat up-volume by a 3.38 ratio.




The Dow Jones Industrial Average

(
$INDU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed down 0.08% at 8663.50. The S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

closed down 0.18% at 916.08. The
Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed down 1.55% at 1315.06.








cellPadding=0 width=”70%” border=1 height=”162″>

































NYSE size=2>NASDAQ
Advancing Issues
1,565

1,389

Declining Issues

1,135

1,735
Advancing Volume
464,430,830

218,104,897
Declining Volume

485,506,880

736,490,909

Total
Volume

966,501,420

974,518,110
New 52-week
Highs

24

24
New 52-week Lows
21

64

Top sectors:


Forest and Paper Index
(
$FPP.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 1.46% at 305.82.


DeutscheBank Energy Index
(
$DXE.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 1.27 at 361.79.

Losing sectors:



Biotechnology Index
(
$BTK.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, down 4.21% at 346.38.


Computer Hardware Index
(
$HWI.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, down
3.41% at 99.70.

Sectors with Most New 52-Week Highs (10 or more):

None.

Watch List Action:

Apollo Group
(
APOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
has bounced back from a test of its base, though turned
away from a new 52-week high for the day. Thursday’s heavy accumulation is a
positive.




Corinthian Colleges
(
COCO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
is our latest breakout and is looking strong as it hit a
new 52-week high Friday and is backed by heavy accumulation for the
week. This provider of higher education has earnings of 35% and 67% for the last
two quarters, respectively, and carries a strong individual, as well as group RS
number. Let’s hope this one can last.







Recent Breakouts

size=2>

We monitor the action of Recent Breakouts as an indicator of
the market health for IT traders. When breakouts are acting well, this is a good
sign for the likelihood of further sustainable breakouts. When breakouts are
failing, IT traders should be even more cautious.
































color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

52-Week High

Apollo Group


(
APOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

95

41.83

– 0.35

2,471,300

39.60

43.27

Corinthian Colleges


(
COCO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

98

32.75

+ 0.06

465,400

34.69

38.00

Stocks Forming a Handle




































































color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

Coach Inc.


(
COH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

89

24.63

-0.83

1,139,500

28.35

International Game Technology


(
IGT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

77

64.68

-0.70

965,800

66.70

Kohl’s Corporation


(
KSS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

70

69.72

+0.83

2,516,700

73.75

Mid Atlantic Medical Services


(
MME |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

94

36.11

+0.19

708,300

37.87

Penn National Gaming


(
PENN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

93

18.30

+0.13

333,000

20.12

Alliant Techsystems


(
ATK |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

85

68.22

+0.47

279,500

69.95

NVR Inc.


(
NVR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

92

296.50

-1.50

134,900

324.60

We are eliminating NVR Inc.
(
NVR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
form the
list as it has crossed below its 50-day moving average and has broken down from
its tight handle formation.


Stocks Building A Base


























color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name

color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol

color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS

color=#ffffff size=2>Price

color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change

color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume

Hovnanian Enterprises


(
HOV |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

96

31.12

+0.59

457,300

Wellpoint Health Network


(
WLP |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

88

74.37

+1.06

1,882,100

href=”mailto:danielb@tradingmarkets.com”>danielb@tradingmarkets.com


If you are new to the “IT” strategy, be sure to
take a look at our

intermediate-term online trading course
.

Intermediate-Term Traders
Report is posted on
Tuesdays and Fridays. For other intermediate-term commentary, be sure to read

Mark Boucher
(Fridays),

Tim Truebenbach
(Tuesdays and Thursdays), and

Gary Kaltbaum
(Mondays and Thursdays).