What’s Up, What’s Down: Bullish for Grains and Metals

Comments for Thursday, December 3, 2009

Looking Ahead to Today by Reflecting Back at Wednesday’s Price Action


Lower closes on Wednesday for crude, heat and the rbob while lower for natural gas. The crude, heat and rbob had rallied sharply since last Thursday evening until today’s action unable to penetrate crucial areas to turn these markets higher. Gas closed lower again making a new CONTRACT LOW AND CLOSE ending any possible bottom at this time. I am holding Sell Signals for Crude Oil, Heating Oil and Natural gas.

Gold Chart


Higher closes for rough rice and soy oil, mixed for soybeans, unchanged for oats while lower for Minneapolis, Kansas city and Chicago wheat along with soy meal and corn. All of the wheat continues to look higher overall although one sharp down day could change the technicals dramatically because the rise has been so gradual. A close over 6000 for March Minneapolis wheat would be very significant however since that hasn’t happened since early August as shown below. Corn settled lower with the December contract ending up slightly below 400. A delay in the decision to possibly increase ethanol in gas back to next June was the underlying reason for the sell off as minor as it was. We don’t know yet if this will keep a cap on the corn since the dollar and oil prices are such an strong influences on corn prices. I feel the weak dollar kept the corn from dropping more. Rice made its second best close of the move pretty much tells the story for this grain at the present time. Oats closed unchanged but is in a small BEAR FLAG which should mean lower prices near term and has been selling off since early November. The bean complex started out higher but, except for the oil, closed lower after the delayed ethanol news came out. All are still in up-trends along with the rest of the grains however.


Higher settlements for copper, gold, silver and platinum once again. All of the metals continue to look strong overall with gold leading the way making a new CONTRACT HIGH AND CLOSE along with platinum while copper and silver made new recent highs and closes going back to 2008 again.

See the balance of my morning comments, including the Metals, Softs, Energies and Grains, at my website. For my complete coverage, visit my commentary page at www.markethead.com.

Rick Alexander has been a broker and analyst in the futures business for over thirty years. He is a Vice-President for Sales and Trading at the Zaner Group (www.zaner.com) a Chicago-based futures brokerage firm. If you would like a free booklet explaining the charts mentioned above, email Rick at ralexander@zaner.com.

The information in this Report and the opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation by Rick Alexander or the Zaner Group of the purchase or sale of any futures or options. Futures and options trading is speculative in nature and involves risks. Spread trading is not necessarily less risky than outright positions. Futures and options trading is not suitable for all investors.